Bitcoin News Today: Metaplanet's mNAV Dips Below 1.0, Sparking Debate on Crypto Treasury Valuations
Metaplanet's enterprise value has fallen below the value of its BitcoinBTC-- holdings for the first time, marking a significant shift in the Japanese crypto treasury firm's trajectory. The company's market to net asset value (mNAV) ratio-calculated as enterprise value relative to the net asset value of its Bitcoin reserves-dropped to 0.99 on October 14, according to data from its official website[1]. This follows a 12% decline in share prices on Tuesday, closing at 482 yen[2]. The mNAV threshold of 1.0 has long been a benchmark for evaluating crypto treasury firms, with values above signaling a premium and below indicating a discount[3].
Metaplanet, the fourth-largest public Bitcoin holder globally with 30,823 BTC ($3.5 billion), has seen its stock price fall 18.44% over the past month despite a 38.5% year-to-date gain[4]. The decline coincides with broader market pressures, including geopolitical tensions and a slowdown in Bitcoin accumulation. The company temporarily suspended the exercise of stock acquisition rights for its 20th–22nd series to optimize capital raising strategies[5]. Meanwhile, Metaplanet's total debt stands at $24.68 million, which factors into its mNAV calculation[1].

The mNAV dip mirrors trends across the industry. Forbes reported that 15% of digital asset treasury firms now trade below 1.0x mNAV, with peers like KindlyMD (NAKA) also slipping to 0.959x[1]. In contrast, StrategyMSTR-- (MSTR), the largest Bitcoin treasury holder with 640,250 BTC ($72 billion), maintains a premium of 1.48x mNAV[1]. However, Strategy's stock has underperformed, rising just 5% year-to-date compared to Bitcoin's 19% gain, highlighting divergent market sentiment[1].
Metaplanet's capital restructuring efforts, including the early redemption of $4.9 million in bonds and the issuance of 1.3 million new shares, aim to balance liquidity and debt reduction[2]. The company also announced plans to raise $5.4 billion through an international stock offering to expand its Bitcoin holdings, targeting 210,000 BTC by 2027[7]. Analysts remain split on the implications of the mNAV decline. Some view it as a "bubble-popping" moment for crypto treasury stocks[4], while others see it as a buying opportunity for long-term Bitcoin bulls[5].
Critics of the mNAV metric argue it oversimplifies valuation by ignoring operational cash flows and balance sheet complexities[2]. Greg Cipolaro of NYDIG called the metric "useless," noting it conflates equity and liability structures[2]. Despite this, Metaplanet raised its full-year operating profit forecast by 88%, citing improved treasury operations and favorable macroeconomic conditions[2].
The broader market context includes a surge in digital asset treasury firms, with 228 publicly traded companies investing $148 billion into crypto in 2025[1]. Yet, as Bitcoin's price volatility and geopolitical risks persist, the sustainability of premium valuations remains uncertain. For Metaplanet, navigating this landscape will require balancing aggressive Bitcoin accumulation with capital efficiency-a challenge shared by peers in the sector.

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