Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Could Rise 18.18% to $130K if $110K Support Holds

Bitcoin may reach $130,000 if it maintains support above the $110,000–$112,000 range, according to analysis using the MVRV Pricing Bands model. The model, referenced by trader Ali Charts, suggests Bitcoin’s current proximity to the +1.5σ (sigma) deviation level on Glassnode’s framework indicates a potential upward trajectory toward the +2.0σ threshold of approximately $130,000, provided the critical support zone holds [1]. At the time of reporting, Bitcoin traded above $117,000, with institutional interest and ETF inflows reinforcing bullish momentum.

The $110,000–$112,000 range is pivotal for short- and long-term price stability. A sustained hold above this level would validate a bullish price structure, increasing the likelihood of a move toward $130,000. Conversely, a breakdown below $110,756 could trigger a reassessment of technical indicators and market sentiment. Analysts note that consolidation above the support zone has been reinforced by subdued volatility and favorable on-chain metrics, including the MVRV model’s alignment with a potential 18.18% rally from current levels [2].

Institutional adoption remains a key driver. ETF inflows into crypto markets have injected $50 billion since July 2025, with analysts citing this as a sign of growing acceptance among traditional investors. The influx has created a “supply squeeze,” as ETFs absorb Bitcoin at a rate exceeding miner production, potentially limiting near-term supply and supporting higher prices [3]. Over the past 30 days, net inflows totaled $82 billion, suggesting the market is not yet overheated despite being below the $135 billion peak in December 2024.

Technical indicators also highlight a critical juncture. Bitcoin’s current price near $119,500 represents a key resistance level; a breakout could confirm continued momentum toward new highs. Captain Faibik, a crypto analyst, noted that the asset is nearing a falling wedge pattern, with a confirmed breakout potentially propelling Bitcoin to an all-time high within weeks [4]. Additionally, Peter Brandt, a veteran trader, reinforced Bitcoin’s dominance, stating, “Bitcoin is crypto. Everything else is just a poser,” reflecting broader confidence in its role as the primary digital asset [5].

The path to $130,000 is not without risks. A failure to defend the $110,000 level could trigger a reevaluation of technical models, including MVRV bands, which currently suggest a balanced risk-reward profile. While ETF-driven stability has reduced speculative volatility compared to earlier 2025, external factors such as macroeconomic shifts or regulatory developments could alter the trajectory. Analysts caution that market dynamics remain fluid, emphasizing the importance of monitoring on-chain activity and macroeconomic trends [6].

Market participants are closely watching Bitcoin’s behavior near $110,000. A successful defense would validate bullish narratives and signal a shift in the asset’s role within global financial markets. Conversely, a breakdown could prompt a reassessment of risk appetite, particularly if broader market conditions deteriorate. The coming weeks will be pivotal in determining whether Bitcoin consolidates above the critical support zone and charts a path toward $130,000.

Source:

[1] [Analyst Predicts Bitcoin May Hit $130K if $110K Support Holds](https://coingape.com/analyst-predicts-bitcoin-may-hit-130k-if-110k-support-holds/)

[2] [Bitcoin Targeted at $130K as ETF Inflows Hit $50B](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-targeted-130k-etf-inflows-hit-50b-110k-support-holds-2507/)

[3] [Bitcoin Could Reach $130K If It Holds Key Support Above $110K](https://coincentral.com/bitcoin-could-reach-130k-if-it-holds-key-support-above-110k/)

[4] [Bitcoin Enters New Phase as ETFs Replace Price Spikes](https://coincentral.com/bitcoin-enters-new-phase-as-etfs-replace-price-spikes-with-stability/)

[5] [Bitcoin’s Price Trajectory and Market Sentiment](https://www.fxleaders.com/news/2025/07/27/bitcoin-analysts-target-130k-if-support-above-110k-holds-steady/)

[6] [Bitcoin Analysts Forecast 18.18% Rally to $130K](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-analysts-forecast-18-18-rally-130k-110k-support-holds-2507/)