Noticias de Bitcoin de Hoy: La cotización de Bitcoin se desploma por temores de las condiciones cuánticas a medida que se intensifica el debate sobre el aumento

Bitcoin's Quantum Computing Debate: A Deep Dive

Bitcoin developers and investors are clashing over the long-term threat posed by quantum computing. Prominent developers argue the risk is negligible for decades, while critics worry about a lack of preparation. A key proposal, BIP-360, aims to introduce quantum-resistant address formats to ease the transition according to the report.

The debate has gained traction as governments and tech firms begin adopting quantum-resistant systems. The U.S. plans to phase out classical cryptography by the mid-2030s, while companies like Cloudflare and Apple have already started implementing post-quantum security measures as per industry reports. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has yet to finalize a network-wide upgrade plan.

Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy has claimed quantum computing will strengthen Bitcoin through protocol upgrades, while others, like Charles Edwards, warn of a steep market decline if no solution is in place by 2028 according to Stocktwits analysis. The split highlights growing unease among investors, who are less concerned with when the threat arrives and more focused on whether Bitcoin is prepared according to investor sentiment.

Why the Standoff Happened

Bitcoin's current cryptographic framework relies on elliptic curve algorithms, which could be vulnerable to quantum computers running Shor's algorithm as research shows. While such machines do not yet exist, the potential risk is enough to fuel concerns. Developers like Adam Back stress that even in the worst-case scenario, the network's design prevents instant theft of funds according to developer statements.

Critics, however, point to the lack of visible progress. Nic Carter of Castle Island Ventures argues that institutional capital is becoming more long-term and expects clearer answers from developers according to market analysis. The gap between technical timelines and market expectations is widening, with investors questioning whether Bitcoin has a credible path forward if cryptography standards shift according to investor concerns.

The debate has already started to influence market sentiment. Bitcoin's price dipped below $90,000 in early December 2025 amid discussions of quantum risk, with retail traders on platforms like Stocktwits expressing bearish views according to trading data. While the threat remains theoretical, uncertainty is weighing on investor confidence. The lack of consensus on a quantum-resistant transition plan has created friction, even if it has not yet triggered a panic.

Grayscale, in its 2026 Digital Asset Outlook, downplayed the immediate impact of quantum computing, calling it a "red herring" for the year ahead according to the firm's outlook. The firm acknowledged that research into post-quantum cryptography will continue but stressed that no large-scale threat is expected before 2030. Still, the absence of a unified developer response has left room for market skepticism.

What Analysts Are Watching

Efforts to prepare for the quantum transition are underway, but progress is slow. BIP-360 offers a gradual migration path to quantum-resistant addresses, allowing users to opt in over time rather than forcing a sudden upgrade as industry sources report. Supporters argue the proposal is about preparation rather than predicting when quantum threats will materialize according to technical analysis.

Jameson Lopp, co-founder of Casa, has warned that retrofitting the Bitcoin network could take 5 to 10 years according to market forecasts. He hopes quantum computing development stalls, but preparations must begin now to avoid rushed decisions later. The challenge lies in Bitcoin's conservative governance model, which makes early consensus on long-horizon risks difficult as industry experts note.

As the debate continues, the key question remains whether Bitcoin can adapt before quantum computing becomes a reality. Until developers and investors align on a shared framework, the issue will linger—not as a crisis, but as a persistent undercurrent in the market.