Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's Bull Run Could Last Another Year on Macroeconomic Cycles: TechDev

Bitcoin’s price trajectory is increasingly being analyzed through the lens of macroeconomic cycles, with crypto analyst TechDev proposing a framework that diverges from the widely followed four-year halving model. According to TechDev’s analysis, Bitcoin’s movements align more closely with global economic indicators, particularly the copper-to-gold ratio—a metric reflecting industrial demand and risk appetite. The analyst argues that Bitcoin historically reaches peak prices approximately 14 months after the copper-gold ratio hits critical turning points, suggesting the current bull phase could extend for another year [1]. This theory challenges conventional narratives centered on Bitcoin’s supply-halving events, emphasizing instead a cyclical relationship with broader economic trends.

TechDev’s framework highlights the 2023–2025 period as pivotal, given recent stabilization in the copper-gold ratio. If the pattern holds, Bitcoin’s next major peak could materialize around mid-2026, aligning with historical precedents. The analyst notes that Bitcoin’s “ramp” period—leading to turning points—typically spans 14 months, a lag observed in prior cycles. This dynamic implies that current economic conditions, rather than halving schedules, may better explain Bitcoin’s resilience amid fluctuating macroeconomic environments.

Technical analysis further supports this outlook. TechDev identifies bullish continuation patterns on Bitcoin’s two-day and two-week charts, including a breakout from a “cup and handle” formation. These patterns suggest a near-term target of $170,000 and a long-term projection of $380,000, contingent on sustained economic conditions. Bitcoin’s current price of $118,110 sits near a critical support level at $110,000, which, if maintained, could validate the continuation of the rally [1].

While TechDev’s insights focus on macroeconomic and technical drivers, other developments in the Bitcoin ecosystem remain distinct. For instance, recent surges in blue-chip NFT prices within the Bitcoin network reflect growing interest in blockchain-based assets but do not directly correlate with Bitcoin’s broader price action [2]. This distinction underscores the need for investors to differentiate between the cryptocurrency’s core fundamentals and peripheral market activity.

The analysis raises questions about the interplay between macroeconomic indicators and cryptocurrency markets. If TechDev’s timeline holds, Bitcoin’s trajectory may mirror past cycles, but deviations are possible due to unpredictable factors such as regulatory shifts or geopolitical events. The analyst acknowledges that while historical patterns provide a useful guide, they are not guarantees. “We have really done this move before,” TechDev stated, but emphasizes the importance of ongoing risk assessment and diversification in volatile markets [1].

TechDev’s framework adds a new dimension to Bitcoin’s price analysis, offering a data-driven rationale for extended bullishness. However, the cryptocurrency’s future remains contingent on evolving economic conditions, which could either reinforce or disrupt the proposed cycles. As the market absorbs these insights, the coming months will test whether Bitcoin’s trajectory aligns with historical patterns or diverges into uncharted territory.

Source: [1] [Here is Why Bitcoin's Bull Run Could Last Another Year] (https://coindoo.com/market/here-is-why-bitcoins-bull-run-could-last-another-year/)

[2] [Bitcoin Ecosystem NFTs Experience Significant Price Surge] (https://www.coinlive.com/en/news-flash/861353)