Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Analysts Split on Timing of Next Market Peak Amid Diverging Cycle Theories

Bitcoin has drawn renewed attention from analysts who believe the cryptocurrency may be following familiar historical patterns. Crypto analyst Ali has highlighted recurring four-year bull cycles observed in 2013, 2017, and 2021, suggesting that Bitcoin could reach a market peak within the next two months—potentially around October or December 2025 [1]. Similar observations have been made by other analysts, with some forecasting a potential peak in just 60 days if the current trend continues [2]. These insights are based on historical patterns and the behavior of Bitcoin in previous cycles, which often include a sharp upward move followed by a consolidation phase before reaching a peak.

However, the idea of a predictable cycle is not without skepticism. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, has suggested that the traditional four-year cycle may no longer be relevant, and Bitcoin could experience a stronger "up year" in 2026 due to evolving market dynamics [3]. Meanwhile, Bernstein analysts have proposed an even more extended bull run, potentially lasting until 2027 or beyond [4]. This divergence in views reflects the uncertainty surrounding the exact timing of Bitcoin’s next peak and underscores the complexity of forecasting in a highly volatile market.

Technical indicators also provide mixed signals. Bitcoin has recently broken below its 50-day EMA and is showing bearish RSI divergence, raising concerns about further downward movement [5]. On the other hand, some analysts argue that a higher low between $114,000 and $114,500 would confirm bullish strength and allow for a continuation of the current rally [6]. Price action on the hourly chart shows that RSI is near neutral levels at 51, while MACD indicates fading bullish momentum, suggesting a period of consolidation following sharp price swings.

The debate now centers on whether Bitcoin is forming a temporary consolidation phase before another rally or if the long-anticipated cycle top is imminent. A sustained move above $120,000 could reignite bullish sentiment, while a breakdown below $114,000 may signal deeper corrections [7]. Analysts also point to potential volatility in the coming weeks as a key factor in determining the direction of Bitcoin’s price. Institutional interest has been cited as a potential driver of Bitcoin’s evolving cycle, with some suggesting that the current bull phase could extend further than previous cycles due to increased participation from large investors [8].

Ethereum, meanwhile, appears to be in a more stable position, showing resilience after a recent correction. Its RSI is returning to balanced levels, and if it maintains strength above key support levels, it could test the $4,800 mark again and potentially reach $5,000 in the coming months [8].

As the market awaits a clearer signal, the coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin follows historical patterns or charts a new course.

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Sources:

[1] Coindoo (2025-07-24) – https://coindoo.com/market/history-says-bitcoin-peak-is-2-months-away-will-it-repeat/

[2] The Tradable (2025-08-19) – https://thetradable.com/crypto/bitcoin-price-to-usdt-market-top-could-be-just-two-months-away-ig--m

[3] AInvest (2025-08-14) – https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-year-cycle-riddle-history-repeating-evolving-2508/

[4] MSN (2025-08-22) – https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/bitcoin-s-bull-run-could-defy-history-and-last-until-2027-bernstein-analysts-say-why-that-may-be-too-optimistic/ar-AA1KYTzW

[5] Coinpedia (2025-08-19) – https://coinpedia.org/news/is-bitcoin-price-near-its-peak-experts-split-on-bull-market-timeline/

[6] PANews (2025-08-12) – https://www.panewslab.com/en/articles/8ae8d513-800a-4308-8796-255cbb771a10

[7] U.Today (2025-08-08) – https://u.today/xrp-must-grow-rsi-says-so-bitcoin-btc-catastrophic-signal-ethereum-eth-5000-in-september

[8] Facebook (date unspecified) – https://m.facebook.com/manuel.guevarra.369210/photos/bitcoins-cycle-clock-ticking-analysts-say-btc-could-peak-between-octoberdecember/752310884348789/