Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin 200-Day MA Breaks $100,000 for First Time

Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average has crossed above $100,000 for the first time, marking a key technical milestone in the cryptocurrency’s price history as of August 16, 2025. This development underscores a shift in market dynamics and is viewed by many as an indicator of sustained bullish momentum. The 200-day moving average is a widely used tool in technical analysis to gauge long-term price trends and is often considered a critical support or resistance level. The fact that Bitcoin has now surpassed this threshold for the first time in its current cycle suggests strong accumulation and growing institutional interest in the asset [1].

The Realized Price, another on-chain metric representing the average cost basis of all Bitcoin holders, has also moved above the 200-week moving average, reinforcing the importance of this price level [1]. Analyst James Van Straten noted that such a crossover could mark the beginning of a new bullish cycle, similar to what was observed during the 2020–2022 period [1]. Historical patterns show that prior crossovers have often been followed by significant price surges, although exceptions do exist—such as in 2017, when a major bull run occurred without a preceding 200-day moving average crossover [1].

In recent trading sessions, Bitcoin has demonstrated increased volatility, peaking above $124,000 before retreating to around $118,000 [1]. This behavior is consistent with past bull market cycles, where temporary pullbacks are often followed by renewed upward momentum. Institutional buying has also intensified, with 75% of recent trading volume on Coinbase attributed to institutional buyers, a level historically associated with price increases within the following week [1].

The $100,000 level is considered a crucial psychological benchmark in the market. Analysts have highlighted that crossing this threshold could bolster investor confidence and potentially drive further price appreciation [2]. Additionally, the Mayer Multiple—the ratio of Bitcoin’s current price to its 200-day moving average—has reached historically high levels, supporting the idea that the market may be approaching a peak [3].

While these indicators point to a strong bullish case, market participants are reminded that the crypto market remains inherently volatile and unpredictable. The 200-day moving average breaking above $100,000 does not guarantee continued gains. Investors are advised to monitor key on-chain metrics, including the Realized Price in relation to the 200-week moving average and the persistence of institutional buying pressure, which could offer further insight into the sustainability of the current bull phase [1].

The broader crypto market has also shown signs of strength, with Ethereum nearing record highs and the ETH/BTC price ratio crossing its 365-day moving average. This suggests a relative shift in investor preference toward Ethereum [4].

Source:

[1] Pintu – https://pintu.co.id/en/news/194206-bitcoin-realized-price-breaks-200-wma-what-will-happen-next

[2] TradingView – https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/OKX-BTCUSD1%21/ideas/page-14/?contract=BTCUSD22Q2025&sort=recent

[3] BTC Frame – https://btcframe.com/2025/08/15/the-mayer-multiple-understanding-bitcoins-relationship-with-its-200-day-moving-average/

[4] Bitcoin.com – https://news.bitcoin.com/ethereum-nears-record-high-as-investor-preference-shifts-cryptoquant-reports/