Bitcoin's $98K Correction: A Strategic Entry Point for Long-Term Buyers

Generado por agente de IAEvan HultmanRevisado porAInvest News Editorial Team
jueves, 13 de noviembre de 2025, 10:00 pm ET2 min de lectura
MSTR--
BTC--
USDT--
The recent plunge in Bitcoin's price to $98,550.33 in November 2025 has sparked widespread panic, with cascading liquidations and ETF outflows dominating headlines. Yet beneath the surface of this bearish narrative lies a compelling case for strategic entry by long-term buyers. This correction, while painful for leveraged traders, has revealed a market at a critical inflection point-where sentiment inversion and on-chain resilience converge to signal undervaluation and institutional confidence.

Market Sentiment Inversion: From Panic to Opportunity

Bitcoin's breakdown below the $100,000 psychological threshold triggered a wave of over $190 million in long liquidations on Binance alone within an hour. This synchronized selling pressure, amplified by ETF outflows totaling $278 million on November 12, reflects a market grappling with overleveraged positions and speculative fatigue. However, such capitulation often precedes regime shifts.

The defensive stance in options trading-where put protection trades command an 11% implied volatility premium over calls-highlights immediate risk aversion. Yet this very fear creates a fertile ground for contrarian buyers. Historically, Bitcoin's price has rebounded from similar capitulation zones, particularly when institutional accumulation and on-chain metrics align with bullish signals.

On-Chain Resilience: Metrics Point to Undervaluation

Bitcoin's on-chain data paints a nuanced picture of resilience amid the selloff. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has dropped to 1.8, a level historically associated with buy zones and local bottoms. This suggests that the network is entering a phase where holders are more likely to accumulate rather than sell, even as prices remain below the short-term holder cost basis of $111,900 according to data.

The NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) ratio further underscores this dynamic. With over 80% of realized value coming from coins sold at a loss near $98,000, the market is witnessing a classic "capitulation" event. Such levels often mark the end of bearish momentum, as sellers exhaust their positions and buyers step in to absorb the discounted supply.

Institutional Confidence: Whales and Treasuries Accumulate

While retail traders are retreating, institutional actors and long-term holders are doubling down. Tether's recent transfer of 8,888.88 BTC to its reserve wallet-valued at $1 billion-brings its total BitcoinBTC-- holdings to nearly 109,410 BTCBTC--, or $12.4 billion at current prices. This aligns with its strategyMSTR-- of allocating 15% of quarterly profits to Bitcoin, signaling a long-term bet on the asset's store-of-value proposition.

Meanwhile, corporate treasuries are treating Bitcoin as a core asset. Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) added 28,483 BTC in Q3 2025, bringing its total holdings to 640,808 BTC-the largest corporate stash globally. The company's $12.9 billion in unrealized gains from Bitcoin underscores its conviction. Similarly, Coinbase and Galaxy Digital have expanded their reserves, with the latter facilitating a $9 billion notional Bitcoin sale for a client, reflecting robust institutional demand.

Whale Accumulation: A Classic Cycle Signal

Bitcoin's whale activity-holders with 1,000+ BTC-has surged in November 2025, with 45,000 BTC accumulated in the past week alone. This contrasts sharply with the 815,000 BTC distributed by long-term holders over the same period, a pattern typical of market cycles. Whales stepping in during capitulation events often stabilize prices, as seen in previous corrections.

The divergence between retail panic and whale accumulation is a textbook sign of a market nearing a bottom. While the $100,000 level remains a critical battleground, the presence of institutional buyers suggests that a sustained recovery could begin once Bitcoin reclaims the $111,900 cost basis.

Strategic Entry Point: Balancing Risk and Reward

For long-term buyers, Bitcoin's $98K correction offers a rare alignment of sentiment inversion and on-chain strength. The breakdown below $100,000 has flushed out weak hands, leaving a market dominated by resilient holders and institutions. Metrics like the MVRV ratio and whale accumulation indicate that the asset is trading at a discount relative to its intrinsic value.

However, caution is warranted. A breakdown below $97,500 could test deeper support levels, but the current on-chain environment suggests that such a move would likely trigger further accumulation rather than panic. For investors with a multi-year horizon, this correction represents a disciplined opportunity to add Bitcoin at a price that reflects its long-term potential.

Conclusion

Bitcoin's $98K correction is not a death knell but a recalibration. The interplay of market sentiment inversion and on-chain resilience-coupled with institutional buying-points to a market poised for a rebound. While volatility remains a constant, the fundamentals of Bitcoin's supply dynamics and growing institutional adoption provide a strong foundation for long-term buyers to act decisively.

Comentarios



Add a public comment...
Sin comentarios

Aún no hay comentarios