Bitcoin's 2025 Peak Predicted at $200K

Bitcoin's price history suggests a potential peak over $200,000 in November 2025, with no revisiting of the $70,000 level, according to an analysis by engineer and Bitcoin data visualization specialist @apsk32.

Bitcoin's past cycles have peaked in November or December, with notable peaks in November 2021 at $69,000, December 2017 at $19,891, and November 2013 at $1,242. If historical trends persist, the four-year cycle pattern may signal a peak in November or December 2025.

The analysis uses a power curve to gauge the period required for current prices to reach the support threshold before potential upward pressure resumes. Bitcoin has previously risen above this trendline before returning to it during market downturns, as observed during the spring 2021 bull market.

The 4-year mean shows a peak of just over $200,000 around the end of 2025, with Bitcoin not falling below $70,000 ever again. However, recent price action has followed a similar trajectory, although early ETF inflows have led to caution among market participants. A large segment of investors continues to hold coins in cold storage, citing the security benefits regardless of the cycle patterns.