Babcock & Wilcox incrementa sus acciones en un 20% debido a su importante alianza con Siemens Energy: ¿Un cambio significativo para la infraestructura de centros de datos impulsada por inteligencia artificial?

Summary
• Babcock & Wilcox (BW) rockets 20.35% intraday to $7.125, surging from a $5.93 low to a $7.45 high.
• Partnership with Siemens Energy secures turbine sets for a 1-gigawatt AI data center power project by 2028.
• Options frenzy: 293 contracts traded for the BW20260116C7.5 call, up 500% in price.

The stock’s explosive move follows a strategic alliance to deliver reliable power for Applied Digital’s AI infrastructure, positioning BW at the intersection of energy and AI demand. With technicals flashing bullish signals and options volatility spiking, the market is betting on a transformative role for BW in the AI-driven energy landscape.

Strategic Alliance with Siemens Energy Ignites Investor Optimism
Babcock & Wilcox’s 20.35% surge stems from its partnership with Siemens Energy to supply steam turbine generator sets for a 1-gigawatt power project targeting Applied Digital’s AI data centers. This collaboration accelerates BW’s ability to meet the project’s 2028 deadline, leveraging Siemens’ advanced turbine technology alongside BW’s proven boiler systems. The deal underscores BW’s positioning in the surging AI infrastructure market, where reliable, dispatchable power is critical. Management emphasized the project’s alignment with AI facilities’ continuous demand profiles, framing it as a scalable solution for the sector’s energy needs. The news triggered immediate buying, with options activity amplifying the stock’s volatility as traders anticipate further upside.

Options Playbook: Capitalizing on BW’s Volatility with Gamma-Driven Calls
• 200-day average: 2.506 (well below current price); RSI: 59.52 (neutral to bullish); MACD: 0.176 (positive divergence).
• Bollinger Bands: Price at $7.125, above the upper band of $6.975, signaling overbought momentum.

Two options stand out for their gamma and liquidity:
• BW20260116C7.5 (Call, $7.5 strike, Jan 16 expiry):
- IV: 140.13% (high volatility)
- Leverage ratio: 14.88% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.4566 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.0474 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.2524 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: 12,186 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside (ST = $7.481): $0.981 per contract. This call benefits from BW’s sharp move and high gamma, amplifying gains if the stock holds above $7.5.
• BW20260220C7.5 (Call, $7.5 strike, Feb 20 expiry):
- IV: 136.28% (high)
- Leverage ratio: 5.90% (low)
- Delta: 0.5569 (moderate)
- Theta: -0.0178 (slower decay)
- Gamma: 0.1169 (moderate)
- Turnover: 8,610 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside: $0.981 per contract. This longer-dated option offers more time for BW to consolidate gains, balancing gamma with lower time decay.

Aggressive bulls should prioritize BW20260116C7.5 for short-term gamma-driven gains, while BW20260220C7.5 suits a bullish hold. Watch for a pullback to the $6.24–$6.29 support range to re-enter calls.

Backtest Babcock & Wilcox Stock Performance
The backtest of BW's performance after a 20% intraday surge from 2022 to now shows mixed results. While the 3-day win rate is 49.35%, the 10-day win rate is 46.52%, and the 30-day win rate is 48.70%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term, the maximum return during the backtest period was only 11.57%, with a maximum return day on January 7, 2026. This suggests that while BW has a good chance of experiencing positive returns in the immediate aftermath of a 20% surge, the overall performance over longer periods may be more modest.

Position for a Volatile Ride: BW’s Breakout Could Reshape Energy Infrastructure
Babcock & Wilcox’s 20.35% surge reflects a pivotal shift in its market narrative, driven by its Siemens Energy partnership and AI infrastructure tailwinds. Technicals suggest a continuation of the rally, with RSI near 60 and MACD above zero. The selected call options offer asymmetric upside if BW sustains above $7.5. Meanwhile, sector leader GE (GE) edged up 0.45%, underscoring industrial resilience. Investors should monitor BW’s ability to hold above the $6.24 support level and watch for follow-through volume in the $7.5–$7.77 range. Act now: Buy BW20260116C7.5 for a high-gamma play or accumulate shares on a pullback to $6.24.