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Here’s the takeaway: AVGO’s options market and technicals are screaming for a short-term bullish breakout, but the stock’s lofty valuation and mixed news flow mean you’ll need to balance aggression with caution. Let’s break it down.
Bullish Calls Dominate at $360–$365, Puts Hedge at $300–$340The options chain tells a clear story: traders are betting on a push above $360. This Friday’s $360 call (
) has 9,607 open contracts, and the $365 call () adds 4,865. That’s not just noise—it’s a crowded short-term target. The $370 call () at 6,485 OI suggests some are eyeing a 4% move from current levels.But don’t ignore the puts. The $340 put (
) at 8,433 OI and $300 put () at 7,968 OI show a downside floor is being priced in. If the stock dips below $345, watch for a test of the 200D support at $338.30.News Flow: AI Growth vs. Valuation ConcernsBroadcom’s fundamentals are a mixed bag. The $73B AI backlog and 74% Q4 growth in AI semiconductors (driven by Google, Meta, and Anthropic) are huge tailwinds. But the 73x P/E and recent downgrade from analysts (citing late-cycle valuations) mean the market is pricing in high expectations.
Institutional buying (like Burr Financial’s 6% Q3 stake increase) supports conviction, but insider sales totaling $239M in 90 days hint at liquidity needs or profit-taking. The key question: Can the stock justify its valuation with sustained AI demand or will China’s chip competition and Apple’s insourcing plans weigh?
Actionable Trade Ideas: Calls for the Breakout, Stock for the ReboundThe next 72 hours will be critical. A close above $360 would validate the bullish options bets and open the door to $380. But a drop below $345 could trigger a test of the 200D support at $338.30. Your edge? Use the crowded $360–$365 calls as a liquidity magnet—if the stock breaks through, the options could blow out.
Bottom line:
is a high-conviction AI play with a clear path higher—but the valuation risks mean this isn’t a long-term hold for everyone. For active traders, the options market has already priced in a short-term rebound. Now it’s time to see if the stock agrees.
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Titulares diarios de acciones y criptomonedas, gratis en tu bandeja de entrada