Arlo Technologies' 15min chart shows KDJ Death Cross, Bearish Marubozu.

The 15-minute chart for Arlo Technologies has triggered a KDJ Death Cross, accompanied by a Bearish Marubozu on October 16, 2025, at 10:15. This indicates a shift in momentum towards the downside, with potential for further decline. Sellers currently hold control of the market, and it is likely that bearish momentum will continue.

Arlo Technologies (ARLO) shares have experienced a significant drop following President Trump's threat of increased tariffs on Chinese imports, which has reignited concerns about a potential US-China trade war. The company's impressive 52% year-to-date share price return has been somewhat mitigated by a nearly 4% slide in a single day, driven by the tariff-related volatility.

The latest technical indicators have further compounded the market's concerns. On October 16, 2025, at 10:15, the 15-minute chart for Arlo Technologies triggered a KDJ Death Cross, accompanied by a Bearish Marubozu candle. These indicators suggest a shift in momentum towards the downside, potentially signaling further decline. The presence of a Bearish Marubozu candle, which has a large body and no shadows, indicates strong selling pressure, with sellers currently holding control of the market. This trend is likely to continue, with bearish momentum expected to persist.

Analysts remain bullish on Arlo Technologies despite the recent volatility. The most popular narrative sets a fair value at $23.20, according to Simply Wall St., suggesting that the stock is undervalued by 28%. This valuation is based on the company's potential for future margin gains and recurring revenue, particularly from its AI-driven service tiers. However, persistent international weakness and intensifying competition from major smart home brands could challenge Arlo's growth and profitability outlook in the years ahead.

A different approach, using the SWS DCF model, estimates Arlo Technologies' fair value at $24.77, which is higher than both the consensus analyst target and the current share price. This suggests a wider margin of undervaluation, making the opportunity look even more compelling, but it also highlights a risk of aggressive assumptions about future growth, according to the same Simply Wall St. article (`https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nyse-arlo/arlo-technologies/news/arlo-technologies-arlo-evaluating-valuation-after-tariff-thr/amp`).

Investors should remain cautious and closely monitor Arlo Technologies' performance in light of these indicators and the broader market conditions. The company's future prospects depend on its ability to navigate the challenges posed by the ongoing trade tensions and intensifying competition in the smart home market.