Arista Networks cae un 2.1% en medio de una turbulencia en todo el sector: ¿Qué está causando esta caída?

Summary
• Arista Networks (ANET) trades at $129.80, down 2.1% intraday, with a 52-week range of $59.43–$164.94
• Sector leader Cisco Systems (CSCO) declines 0.87%, signaling broader Communication Equipment sector pressure
• Technicals show RSI at 60.6, MACD above zero, and price testing 30D MA at $128.99

Today’s selloff in Arista Networks reflects a confluence of sector-wide headwinds and technical exhaustion. With the stock trading near its 200-day moving average and facing a wall of short-term resistance at $131.66, the move underscores growing caution in the Communication Equipment space. Sector news highlights 5G infrastructure shifts and competitive pressures, while technical indicators suggest a critical juncture for near-term direction.

Sector-Wide 5G Infrastructure Shifts Spark Profit-Taking
The Communication Equipment sector is recalibrating amid a surge in 5G infrastructure announcements and spectrum reallocations. Recent news of U Mobile’s $1B 5G deployment, AT&T’s midband spectrum acquisition, and Germany’s Huawei 5G ban has intensified competitive pressures. While Arista Networks lacks direct news, the sector’s focus on cost optimization and open RAN adoption is driving profit-taking in high-multiple names like ANET. The stock’s decline aligns with broader investor rotation toward more defensively positioned tech plays.

Communication Equipment Sector Under Pressure as Cisco Trails
The Communication Equipment sector is underperforming, with Cisco Systems (CSCO) down 0.87% despite its dominant market position. This suggests the selloff is not ANET-specific but reflects sector-wide concerns over 5G ROI timelines and capital expenditure discipline. Arista’s 2.1% drop outpaces the sector average, indicating heightened sensitivity to margin pressures and competitive dynamics in the enterprise networking space.

Options Playbook: Capitalizing on Volatility with ANET Puts
• MACD: 0.66 (above signal line), RSI: 60.6 (neutral), 200D MA: $116.96 (below price), Bollinger Bands: $122.74–$137.91

Technical indicators suggest a potential short-term bounce from key support levels but caution against overextending long positions. The stock is testing its 30D MA at $128.99 and faces critical resistance at $131.66. With implied volatility averaging 49.1% in the options chain, volatility-based strategies gain traction.

Top Options Picks:
• ANET20260116P122 (Put):
- Strike: $122, Expiry: 2026-01-16
- IV: 49.10% (moderate), Leverage: 103.96% (high), Delta: -0.203 (moderate), Theta: -0.0337 (high decay), Gamma: 0.0267 (responsive), Turnover: $30,318 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% downside: $1.31/share (max(0, 122 - 123.31))
- This put offers aggressive downside exposure with high leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a potential break below $122.

• ANET20260116P123 (Put):
- Strike: $123, Expiry: 2026-01-16
- IV: 50.29% (moderate), Leverage: 82.77% (high), Delta: -0.237 (moderate), Theta: -0.0316 (high decay), Gamma: 0.0286 (responsive), Turnover: $26,889 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% downside: $0.31/share (max(0, 123 - 123.31))
- A balanced play with strong gamma and theta characteristics, suitable for a controlled short-term bearish bet.

Action Insight: Aggressive bears may consider ANET20260116P122 into a breakdown below $122, while cautious traders might use ANET20260116P123 for a defined-risk short position.

Backtest Arista Networks Stock Performance
The ANET ETF has demonstrated resilience following a -2% intraday plunge from 2022 to the present. The 3-day win rate is 61.54%, the 10-day win rate is 68.93%, and the 30-day win rate is 78.11%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 15.15%, with a maximum return day at 59, suggesting that ANET has the potential for significant gains following a dip.

Critical Support Levels to Watch as Sector Uncertainty Lingers
The selloff in Arista Networks reflects a broader sector correction driven by 5G infrastructure reallocations and margin pressures. While technicals suggest a potential rebound from the 30D MA at $128.99, the 200D MA at $116.96 remains a critical long-term floor. Investors should monitor the $122–$123 support cluster and sector leader Cisco’s (-0.87%) trajectory for directional clues. A sustained break below $122 would validate a bearish pivot, while a rebound above $131.66 could reignite bullish momentum. Watch for $122 breakdown or regulatory reaction.