Aplicación Digital (APLD) con un aumento del 13,76% intra-día: ¿Qué está impulsando esta tendencia volátil?

Summary
• Applied Digital (APLD) surges 13.76% to $27.19, hitting an intraday high of $27.60 after securing a $100M loan facility with Macquarie.
• The stock trades above its 52-week high of $40.20, with a dynamic PE of -102.64 and turnover rate of 11.2%.
• APLD’s rally coincides with a $25M funding round for Corintis and advanced negotiations with a hyperscaler for new data center leases.

Applied Digital’s intraday surge reflects a confluence of capital-raising milestones and strategic lease progress. The stock’s 13.76% jump, driven by a $100M loan facility and $25M investment in Corintis, signals investor optimism about its AI infrastructure pipeline. With a 52-week range of $3.31–$40.20 and a 11.2% turnover rate, APLD’s volatility underscores its speculative appeal in the AI-driven data center boom.

Loan Facility and Hyperscaler Lease Talks Ignite APLD's Intraday Surge
Applied Digital’s 13.76% intraday rally is directly tied to its $100M loan facility with Macquarie and $25M investment in Corintis, a liquid cooling technology firm. The loan proceeds will accelerate pre-lease development of new data center projects, while the Corintis partnership enhances APLD’s energy efficiency. Additionally, the company announced advanced negotiations with an investment-grade hyperscaler for multi-campus leases, reinforcing its long-term revenue visibility. These developments, coupled with a $25M funding round for Corintis, have galvanized investor sentiment, pushing the stock to a 52-week high.

Data Center Sector Gains Momentum as APLD Outperforms
The Data Processing & Outsourced Services sector, led by Equinix (EQIX) with a 2.16% intraday gain, reflects broader demand for AI infrastructure. However, APLD’s 13.76% surge is driven by company-specific catalysts—its loan facility and hyperscaler lease negotiations—rather than sector-wide trends. While EQIX benefits from general data center demand, APLD’s rally highlights its pure-play exposure to AI-optimized infrastructure and recurring lease revenue model.

Options Playbook: Leveraging APLD’s Volatility with Gamma-Driven Contracts
• 200-day average: 15.83 (well below current price)
• 30-day average: 26.72 (near current price)
• RSI: 42.45 (oversold territory)
• MACD: -0.81 (bearish divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: Upper $34.60, Middle $26.88, Lower $19.16 (price near middle band)

APLD’s technicals suggest a short-term rebound from oversold RSI levels, with the 200-day average acting as a strong support. The stock is trading near its 30-day average, indicating consolidation after the sharp rally. The Bollinger Bands suggest a potential breakout above $34.60 could trigger further gains. While no leveraged ETF data is available, the stock’s volatility makes it a candidate for gamma-rich options strategies.

Top Option 1: APLD20251226C27
• Type: Call
• Strike Price: $27.00
• Expiration: 2025-12-26
• IV: 79.65% (high volatility)
• Leverage Ratio: 19.19% (moderate)
• Delta: 0.558 (moderate sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.150 (rapid time decay)
• Gamma: 0.1228 (high sensitivity to price moves)
• Turnover: 264,909 (liquid)
• Payoff at 5% Upside: $0.45 per share (max(0, 28.55 - 27.00))
This call option offers a high gamma and moderate delta, ideal for capitalizing on a continuation of APLD’s rally. The high IV and liquid turnover ensure execution flexibility, while the moderate leverage ratio balances risk and reward.

Top Option 2: APLD20251226P27.5
• Type: Put
• Strike Price: $27.50
• Expiration: 2025-12-26
• IV: 86.54% (very high volatility)
• Leverage Ratio: 18.05% (moderate)
• Delta: -0.499 (moderate sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.009 (slow time decay)
• Gamma: 0.1142 (high sensitivity)
• Turnover: 27,342 (liquid)
• Payoff at 5% Upside: $0.05 per share (max(0, 27.50 - 28.55))
This put option provides downside protection with high gamma and IV, suitable for hedging against a potential pullback. The moderate leverage ratio and slow theta decay make it a conservative yet responsive hedge.

Trading Hook: Aggressive bulls should target APLD20251226C27 into a breakout above $34.60. Conservative investors may use APLD20251226P27.5 as a hedge against volatility.

Backtest Applied Digital Stock Performance
The backtest of APDL's performance after a 14% intraday surge from 2022 to now shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 53.33%, the 10-Day win rate is 55.33%, and the 30-Day win rate is 56.22%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 33.94% over 30 days, suggesting that APDL can deliver significant gains even after the initial surge.

APLD’s Rally: A Short-Term Play or a Sustainable Breakout?
Applied Digital’s 13.76% intraday surge is a high-stakes bet on its AI infrastructure pipeline and hyperscaler lease progress. While the stock’s technicals suggest a short-term rebound from oversold levels, sustainability hinges on its ability to secure multi-campus leases and execute on Polaris Forge 2. Investors should monitor the $34.60 Bollinger Band upper limit and the $26.88 middle band for directional clues. With Equinix (EQIX) up 2.16%, the sector remains supportive, but APLD’s rally is driven by company-specific catalysts. Action Alert: Watch for a $34.60 breakout or a breakdown below $26.88 to determine next steps.