Antimony's Fire Burns Bright: U.S. Antimony's Smelter Restart Could Ignite Profits

Generado por agente de IAWesley Park
lunes, 21 de abril de 2025, 2:37 pm ET2 min de lectura
UAMY--

The comeback story of U.S. Antimony Corporation (UAMY) is finally catching fire. After shutting down its Madero Smelter in Mexico just a year ago due to financial struggles, the company is now reigniting operations—and investors should take notice. Let me break down why this restart isn’t just a recovery, but a potential rocket fuel for profits.

From Shutdown to Startup: What Changed?
The Madero Smelter’s 2024 shutdown was a gut punch for UAMYUAMY--. The problem? Its Mexican mines couldn’t deliver enough antimony ore to justify keeping the smelter running. Negative cash flow piled up, and shares tanked. But here’s the twist: UAMY didn’t just sit there. Instead, it pivoted to international suppliers—specifically Australia—to secure new ore streams. And now, with shipments rolling in and a retooled smelter, the company is back in business.

The Numbers That Matter
Let’s start with the headline: UAMY’s stock has soared 373% over six months. That’s not a typo—this is a company on fire. But don’t just take the stock price at face value. Revenue jumped 72% year-over-year to $14.9 million in Q4 2024, with antimony sales up a staggering 88%. The smelter’s restart isn’t just symbolic—it’s a cash-generating machine waiting to rev up.

The Madero Smelter’s capacity is starting small—200 tons of ore per month—but management aims to hit 300 tons by summer. That’s a 50% boost in processing power, and with Australian ore now flowing, the path to profitability is clear. Capital improvements costing under $1 million are modernizing the plant, ensuring it can handle the new supply efficiently.

Why Antimony? The Demand Drivers
Antimony isn’t a household name, but it’s critical for industries that are booming. Used in flame retardants, lead-acid batteries, and even military ordnance, antimony’s role in critical infrastructure can’t be understated. The U.S. government has labeled it a “critical mineral,” and with demand for electric vehicle batteries and national defense systems surging, the timing couldn’t be better.

Gary C. Evans, UAMY’s CEO, hit the nail on the head: “This restart isn’t just about turning on a smelter—it’s about securing America’s supply chain for materials we can’t afford to be without.” And he’s right. The U.S. imports over 90% of its antimony, making domestic production a national priority.

Analysts Are Bullish—But Watch This
Wall Street is already pricing in the good news. Analysts have set price targets as high as $5.00 per share, up from around $1.50 today. But here’s the catch: UAMY’s success hinges on two things. First, can it keep the smelter running smoothly? The first Australian shipment faced a two-week customs delay—so execution matters. Second, will antimony prices hold up? With global demand climbing and China (the world’s top antimony producer) tightening exports, I’m betting yes.

The Bottom Line: Buy the Rebound, But Mind the Risks
UAMY is a high-risk, high-reward play, but the rewards are looking juicier every day. The restart of Madero isn’t just a comeback—it’s a strategic masterstroke. By diversifying its ore supply, slashing reliance on troubled Mexican mines, and tapping into a red-hot market, UAMY is positioning itself to capitalize on a once-in-a-decade opportunity.

The numbers back this up: a projected $0.18 EPS in 2025, a 300-ton monthly capacity by year-end, and a product in soaring demand. Even with the risks—customs hiccups, ore supply disruptions—the upside here is undeniable.

Final Call: This is a “Buy”—But Don’t Close Your Eyes
If you’re looking for a speculative play with real growth legs, UAMY is worth a bite. The restart isn’t just about survival—it’s about dominating a niche where the U.S. is desperate for self-sufficiency. Just remember: keep an eye on those shipments and the stock’s volatility. This isn’t a “set it and forget it” investment—but for those willing to take the risk, the payoff could be explosive.

Final Score: Bullish — but only for aggressive investors ready to ride the antimony wave.

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