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Summary
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Advanced Micro Devices faces a sharp intraday selloff, trading nearly 4.4% below its prior close. The decline coincides with broader semiconductor sector volatility, as
(INTC) also drops 3.33%. With AMD’s price nearing its 200-day moving average of $154.81, investors are scrutinizing technical levels and sector-wide catalysts.Semiconductor Sector in Retreat as Intel Slides 3.33%
The semiconductor sector is broadly under pressure, with Intel (INTC) down 3.33% intraday. AMD’s decline mirrors the sector’s 4.35% drop, reflecting shared exposure to thermal management complexities and geopolitical policy shifts. While AMD’s 52-week high of $267.08 remains distant, the sector’s focus on EU-driven projects and AI infrastructure bottlenecks suggests a near-term bearish bias.
Options Playbook: Puts Outperform as Volatility Soars
• 200-day average: $154.81 (well below current price)
• RSI: 48.43 (neutral), MACD: -2.998 (bearish divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band at $193.58
AMD’s technicals suggest a short-term bearish setup, with key support at $217.10 (30D support) and resistance at $218.31. The 52.35% implied volatility in the options chain reflects heightened uncertainty. Two top options for bearish exposure:
• (Put): Strike $205, Expiry 12/19, IV 52.37%, Leverage 50.21%, Delta -0.3455, Theta -0.0015, Gamma 0.021258, Turnover $289,665
- High leverage and moderate delta position this put to capitalize on a 5% downside move (projected payoff: $6.78).
• (Call): Strike $220, Expiry 12/19, IV 51.64%, Leverage 62.02%, Delta 0.3195, Theta -0.6331, Gamma 0.020901, Turnover $706,804
- Aggressive call for a rebound above $220, with high turnover ensuring liquidity. Projected payoff under 5% downside: $0.00 (out-of-the-money).
Aggressive bears should prioritize AMD20251219P205 for a 5% downside scenario, while bulls may test AMD20251219C220 if $220 breaks with volume.
Backtest Advanced Micro Devices Stock Performance
After experiencing a -4% intraday plunge from 2022 to the present, AMD's stock has shown a mixed performance. The backtest data reveals that the 3-day win rate is 53.37%, the 10-day win rate is 50.10%, and the 30-day win rate is 49.90%. While the stock has had positive returns over various short time frames, the maximum return during the backtest period was only 7.08%, which occurred on day 59 after the plunge.
AMD at Crossroads: Watch $211.71 Support and EU Policy Catalysts
AMD’s near-term trajectory hinges on its ability to hold $211.71 (intraday low) and navigate EU policy shifts. The sector’s 4.35% drop, led by Intel’s 3.33% decline, underscores systemic risks. Investors should monitor the 200-day MA at $154.81 as a critical floor. For now, AMD20251219P205 offers a high-leverage bearish play, while a rebound above $220 could reignite longs. Watch for regulatory updates on EU semiconductor projects and thermal management breakthroughs to drive sentiment.
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Titulares diarios de acciones y criptomonedas, gratis en tu bandeja de entrada