Boletín de AInvest
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Let’s start with the numbers: 20,673 open calls at the $240 strike (this Friday’s expiration) and a block trade buying 500 of the AMZN20260116C250 calls for $960 each. That’s not random noise—it’s a signal. The call skew suggests institutional players are hedging for a mid-2026 rally, while retail traders are stacking up near-term bullish bets at $235–$240.
But don’t ignore the puts. The $215 and $230 strikes have 8,244 and 6,691 open contracts, respectively. A breakdown below $228.15 (200D MA) could trigger panic selling. The key takeaway? The market is pricing in a $235–$245 range battle, with heavy money guarding the upside.
News Flow: India’s $35B Bet vs. Italy’s Drone WoesAmazon’s $35 billion India push and AWS’s Graviton5 launch are major tailwinds. These stories justify the bullish options flow—especially for long-term holders. But the Italy drone shutdown and AWS outage risks add friction. Here’s the twist: the market already priced in the negatives. The recent block trades suggest investors are betting on the India/AWS narrative outweighing the hiccups.
Consumer perception matters too. Same-day grocery delivery expansion and AI job creation in India are tangible wins. If AWS’s reliability improves post-outage, the stock could see a re-rating. For now, the news isn’t a headwind—it’s a backdrop for the options-driven optimism.
Trade Ideas: Calls for January, Stock for Precision EntriesOption Play: Buy the call (OI: 20,673) at $1.50–$1.70. Target $245 (5% move) by Jan 2. Why? The $240 strike is a liquidity magnet, and a breakout above $237.5 (Bollinger middle band) could trigger a cascade of stop-loss buying.Alternative: A bull call spread with (buy) and (sell) to reduce cost. Caps risk while capitalizing on the $235–$245 range fight.Stock Play: Consider entry near $230.77 (intraday low) if support holds. Target $237.5 (Bollinger upper band) with a stop-loss below $228.15 (200D MA). A close above $232.6 (intraday high) would validate the bullish case.Volatility on the Horizon: Balancing Bullish Bets and CautionAmazon’s options market is a tug-of-war between short-term optimism and long-term strategic bets. The $240 call OI and block trades suggest a 60–70% chance of a $235–$245 consolidation by mid-January. But don’t ignore the $215 put OI—it’s a red flag if
dips below $222.45 (30D support).Bottom line: This is a stock with momentum on its side, but the path isn’t straight. Use the options flow as a guide—stack calls at $240 for a January rally, but keep a tight stop below $228.15. The next few weeks could be a masterclass in volatility trading.

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Titulares diarios de acciones y criptomonedas, gratis en tu bandeja de entrada