Almonty Industries sube un 8,36% ya que el retiro del prospecto de oferta aumenta el optimismo de los inversores

Summary
• Almonty Industries (ALM) surges 8.36% intraday, trading at $7.325 after withdrawing its $129M public offering shelf prospectus.
• The stock opens at $6.93, hits a high of $7.48, and trades 2.36 million shares, reflecting strong post-announcement momentum.
• Technical indicators show a bullish crossover in MACD (0.074) and RSI (62.58), with Bollinger Bands tightening around the $6.575 midline.
• The move aligns with Almonty’s strategic focus on non-China tungsten supply, amid U.S. defense procurement bans and geopolitical tensions.

Almonty Industries’ stock has ignited a sharp intraday rally following its announcement to withdraw its shelf prospectus, signaling confidence in its recent $129M capital raise. The stock’s 8.36% surge reflects investor optimism about the company’s positioning in the critical tungsten market, where demand is surging due to U.S. supply chain security initiatives. With technical indicators flashing bullish signals and sector peers benefiting from industrial metals demand, the move underscores Almonty’s strategic alignment with global defense and technology trends.

Strategic Capital Raising Drives Almonty's Sharp Rally
Almonty’s 8.36% intraday surge is directly tied to its announcement of withdrawing its short-form base shelf prospectus and Form F-10 registration statement. The company cited the successful completion of its $129.375M public offering as the reason for the withdrawal, signaling no further need for capital raises under the existing framework. This move is interpreted by investors as a vote of confidence in the company’s financial stability and operational momentum. Almonty’s flagship Sangdong Mine in South Korea, expected to supply 80% of non-China tungsten production, is now positioned to capitalize on U.S. defense procurement bans and China’s export restrictions. The stock’s sharp rebound from its intraday low of $6.93 to a high of $7.48 reflects immediate market validation of the company’s strategic clarity and capital efficiency.

Industrial Metals Sector Gains Momentum Amid Geopolitical Tensions
The Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector, represented by the S&P 500 index (^GSPC), has gained 0.58% on the day, outperforming the broader market. Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), the sector leader, rose 0.97%, reflecting broader investor appetite for commodities tied to supply chain security. Almonty’s 8.36% surge far outpaces the sector’s average, driven by its unique positioning in tungsten—a metal critical to defense and advanced technology. While peers like MP Materials (MP) and TMC (TMC) focus on rare earths and copper, Almonty’s non-China tungsten supply chain aligns with U.S. defense procurement mandates, creating a distinct competitive edge. The sector’s 75.58% YTD return underscores the tailwinds from geopolitical tensions and critical mineral demand.

Technical Indicators and ETFs Signal Bullish Momentum for Almonty
• MACD (0.074): Bullish crossover above signal line (0.033), with histogram rising (0.040).
• RSI (62.58): Neutral to overbought territory, suggesting potential for further gains.
• Bollinger Bands: Price at $7.325 near upper band ($7.70), indicating short-term overextension.
• 30D MA (6.63): Price above 30-day average, confirming upward trend.

Almonty’s technical setup favors a continuation of the bullish momentum, with key resistance at $7.48 (intraday high) and support at $7.11 (30D support level). The RSI’s 62.58 suggests the stock is not yet overbought, leaving room for further gains. While no options data is available, leveraged ETFs like XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR) could amplify exposure to the sector’s strength. Investors should monitor the 200-day MA (unavailable) and watch for a break above $7.48 to confirm a breakout. The absence of options activity highlights the need for caution, but the stock’s alignment with U.S. defense procurement bans and tungsten demand creates a compelling long-term case.

Backtest Almonty Industries Stock Performance
The performance of APLM after a 37% intraday surge from 2022 to now has been underwhelming. The median next-day return is approximately -8%, indicating that the strategy has a strong tendency to experience losses immediately following the intraday surge. Furthermore, the cumulative return after 10 trading days is about -25%, and after 30 days, it is roughly -38%. These figures suggest that APLM's performance is not only negative but also deteriorates significantly over time following the initial surge.

Almonty's Rally Positions It as a Key Player in Tungsten Supply Chain Security
Almonty’s 8.36% intraday surge reflects a strategic inflection point, with its withdrawal of the shelf prospectus signaling confidence in its capital structure and operational momentum. The stock’s technical indicators and sector alignment with U.S. defense procurement bans suggest the rally could extend, particularly if tungsten prices remain elevated. Investors should watch the $7.48 intraday high as a critical level for a breakout confirmation. Meanwhile, sector leader Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) rose 0.97%, reinforcing the broader industrial metals theme. For aggressive bulls, a breakout above $7.48 could trigger a retest of the 52-week high at $10.68, while a pullback to $7.11 offers a second-chance entry. The key takeaway: Almonty’s strategic positioning in non-China tungsten supply makes it a must-watch in the critical minerals space.