Alien Worlds/Tether (TLMUSDT) Market Overview for 2025-09-18

• Price rose from $0.00463 to $0.00494, with strong bullish momentum in the first half of the day.
• MACD and RSI showed positive divergence, indicating potential overbought conditions in the morning.
• Volatility expanded during key bullish breaks, with volume surging during price highs.
• A 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.00493 was approached but not broken by the close.
• Downturn in the late afternoon suggests a consolidation phase ahead of the next 24 hours.

The Alien Worlds/Tether (TLMUSDT) pair opened at $0.00463 on 2025-09-17 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.00496, and closed at $0.00493 on 2025-09-18 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour volume totaled approximately 168,455,590 TLM and turnover was roughly $804,722 USD. A clear bullish bias dominated the first 10 hours, with a sharp pullback in the afternoon.

Structure & Formations

Price formed a strong bullish flag pattern during the early hours of the session, confirming a breakout above the descending trendline. Key support levels were identified at $0.00487 and $0.00491, with resistance at $0.00496 showing some rejection in the late morning. A morning doji at $0.00488 hinted at short-term indecision, but was quickly broken by a bullish engulfing pattern at $0.00493 to $0.00496.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20SMA and 50SMA crossed in favor of the bulls, supporting the recent upward move. The 50EMA crossed above the 200EMA during the early morning, signaling a potential continuation of bullish momentum. However, on the daily chart, the 200DMA acted as a strong support line in the previous 48 hours, suggesting that further moves above $0.005 may require stronger confirmation.

MACD & RSI

The MACD remained in positive territory for most of the session, with a bullish crossover in the early morning. The RSI reached overbought territory in the early hours and remained near 65–70 for several hours, indicating that buyers were dominant but showing signs of fatigue during the afternoon decline. A bearish divergence formed as price made higher highs but RSI failed to follow, suggesting a potential pullback.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly between 06:00 and 10:00 ET as price traded near the upper band, confirming the bullish breakout. A contraction followed in the late afternoon, signaling a potential period of consolidation. By the close, price sat just below the upper Bollinger band on the 1-hour chart, indicating strong momentum but with some caution ahead.

Volume & TurnoverVolume spiked to over 16 million TLM during the morning breakout and remained elevated during the consolidation phase. Notional turnover aligned with price action, confirming the validity of the morning rally. However, a divergence in volume appeared in the late afternoon, as price dropped but volume did not surge accordingly, suggesting weaker follow-through from buyers.

Fibonacci Retracements

The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.00493 was approached and briefly tested in the morning before a rally to $0.00496. The 38.2% level at $0.00488 provided support during the afternoon pullback, and the 50% retracement at $0.00490 was a key area for potential follow-through. These levels are likely to be retested in the coming 24 hours.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy could involve using the 50EMA as a dynamic support line for bullish entries, combined with RSI divergence to time exits. A long entry would be triggered when price closes above the 50EMA, and a stop-loss is placed below the previous swing low. A sell signal would be generated when RSI forms a bearish divergence, confirming a weakening of bullish momentum. This strategy would aim to capture short-term trends while managing risk through defined stop-loss and profit-taking levels.