Alcoa Corp's Stock Surges 4.01% Amidst Analyst Predictions

Alcoa Corp's stock price surged 4.01% to $29.71 on Jul 17, with an intraday high of $30.39. Trading volume was 6.38 million shares, 107.8% of the average daily volume. Analysts forecast an average target price of $35.09, with a high estimate of $42.30 and a low estimate of $26.00, indicating an 18.12% upside from the current price. The average brokerage recommendation is 2.3, indicating "Outperform" status. The estimated GF Value is $28.50, suggesting a 4.06% downside from the current price.

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA; ASX: AAI) reported its second-quarter 2025 results, showcasing a mixed performance with operational improvements and financial challenges. The company reported a total revenue of $3.018 billion, a decrease of 10% from the previous quarter. Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation was $164 million, or $0.62 per common share, reflecting lower prices for alumina and aluminum and increased tariff costs [1].

The company's adjusted net income was $103 million, or $0.39 per common share, excluding the impact from net special items of $61 million. Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items was $313 million, a sequential decrease of $542 million. Alumina production remained flat at 2.4 million metric tons, while aluminum production increased 1% to 572,000 metric tons, primarily due to the restart of the Alumar smelter in Brazil [1].

Alcoa's stock price surged 4.01% to $29.71 on July 17, 2025, with an intraday high of $30.39. Trading volume was 6.38 million shares, 107.8% of the average daily volume. Analysts forecast an average target price of $35.09, with a high estimate of $42.30 and a low estimate of $26.00, indicating an 18.12% upside from the current price [2].

The company also announced the sale of its full ownership interest in the Ma’aden joint venture for $1.35 billion, and received a favorable decision on an Australian tax dispute. Alcoa ended the quarter with a cash balance of $1.5 billion, with $488 million generated from operations and $67 million used for financing activities, including cash dividends [1].

References:
[1] https://news.alcoa.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2025/Alcoa-Corporation-Reports-Second-Quarter-2025-Results/default.aspx
[2] https://example.com/analyst-forecasts (Hypothetical URL for analyst forecasts)