AbbVie (ABBV.US) has entered the weight loss drug market with a $2.2 billion acquisition of Gubra's new drug.
Intellidex analyst John Murphy said the competition in the glucagon field may not be as fierce, which may explain why AbbVieABBV-- is paying a "high upfront payment" for the deal.
Gubra's experimental drug GUBamy mimics glucagon, a gut hormone different from GLP-1, which has been a huge success for Novo NordiskNVO-- and Eli Lilly.
Gubra's shares rose as much as 29% to a record high since November, more than doubling in the past year on optimism about its weight-loss portfolio.
AbbVie is hoping to replace the revenue from Humira, a drug that treats arthritis and was once the world's best-selling drug.
However, AbbVie may still face challenges as Gubra's early data suggests its drug may be as effective as Zealand Pharma's petrelintide, but Zealand's drug is "at least a year ahead on the timeline," according to Van Lanschot Kempen analyst Suzanne Van Voorthuizen.
The Gubra deal "provides a reference for a potential Zealand petrelintide deal," the team said, adding that the deal terms were above expectations.

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