Opciones de AAPL indican una tendencia alcista: operaciones importantes de compra a $280 y de venta a $270 como estrategia impulsada por IA e iPhone

• Current Price Action: AAPL trades at $274.31, up 0.18% with volume at 3.4M shares. Price clings to the 200D MA ($230.56) but lags the 30D MA ($275.20).
  - Options Imbalance: Call open interest (3.1M) outpaces puts (2.1M), with a put/call ratio of 0.67. Heavy call OI at $280 and $277.5 strikes.
  - Technical Signals: RSI at 33.54 (oversold) and MACD histogram (-1.14) hint at short-term bearishness, but long-term bullish crossovers persist.
  - News Catalysts: Strong iPhone demand, Disney’s Jeff Williams board move, and AI team formation fuel institutional optimism.
  

The Big Picture: AAPL sits at a crossroads. Short-term technicals and options data suggest a test of $273.42 support, but bullish fundamentals and call-heavy positioning imply a rebound toward $285+ could materialize if buyers step in. Here’s how to navigate it.Bullish Call Accumulation and Bearish Put Defense
Options market activity tells a clear story: bulls are stacking up at $280, while bears are hedging at $270. The top OTM call strikes for this Friday (2025-12-26) include AAPL20251226C280 (OI: 31,336) and AAPL20251226C277.5 (OI: 26,624). These strikes act as gravity points—price above $275.37 (intraday high) could trigger a rush to cover these calls. Conversely, puts at AAPL20251226P270 (OI: 14,375) suggest institutional players are bracing for a dip to $268.66 (lower Bollinger Band).

Block trades add intrigue. A massive 880-contract AAPL20251017C240 buy (turnover: $431,200) hints at a whale expecting a rebound from the 200D MA. Meanwhile, a 600-contract AAPL20250926P235 buy (turnover: $192K) signals bearish positioning for a deeper pullback. The takeaway? A tug-of-war between $268 and $285 is brewing.

News Flow: Fuel for the Bull Case
Apple’s recent headlines tilt bullish. The new iPhone lineup drove a 6.05% YTD gain, and Jim Cramer’s "own, not trade" advice reinforces long-term confidence. Disney’s Jeff Williams joining their board adds credibility to Apple’s tech leadership narrative. Even the AI chatbot team hints at future growth vectors.

But don’t ignore the negatives. Australia’s eSafety criticism could pressure shares if privacy concerns escalate. However, institutional buying (like Financial Enhancement Group’s 8% position increase) suggests these risks are already priced in. The key is whether iPhone demand and AI progress outpace regulatory noise.

Actionable Trade Ideas
For Options Traders:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy AAPL20251226C277.5 (strike: $277.50) if price breaks above $275.37. Target $285 with a stop at $273.42. Next Friday’s AAPL20260102C280 (OI: 16,548) offers a longer runway for a post-holiday rally.
- Bear Put Spread: Buy AAPL20251226P270 (strike: $270) if price dips below $273.42 support. Target $265 with a stop at $272.50.
For Stock Traders:
- Long Entry: Consider buying AAPL near $273.42 (30D support) if it holds above $273.90. Target $285 (upper Bollinger Band) with a stop at $268.66.
- Short-Term Play: Sell puts at $270 to collect premium if you’re bullish on a rebound. This creates a collar if price rallies.Volatility on the Horizon
Apple’s options market is a chessboard. The call-heavy positioning at $280 and $277.5 suggests a psychological ceiling where profit-taking could accelerate. But with RSI in oversold territory and the 30D MA acting as a floor, the path of least resistance is sideways-to-up. The real test comes next week: if AAPL closes above $277.50 by Jan 2, the 100D MA ($254.93) could become a catalyst for a broader breakout.

For now, treat $273.42 as a lifeline. If it holds, the bulls control the narrative. If it breaks, brace for a test of $260. Either way, the options data gives you a seat at the table.