C -3953.8% YTD Amid Sharp Short- and Long-Term Declines

On SEP 11 2025, C dropped by 513.65% within 24 hours to reach $9.354, representing a dramatic short-term correction. The asset also fell by 384.81% over the preceding seven days and 282.83% over the past month, underscoring a persistent bearish trend. Over the longer term, C has recorded a total loss of 3953.8% over the past year, marking one of the most significant declines in the market.

The decline has been marked by a loss of investor confidence, with the asset failing to recover in the short term despite some attempts to stabilize its position. Analysts project that the ongoing weakness may reflect broader structural challenges, particularly if the asset's fundamentals remain unchanged. The sharp drop has triggered stop-loss orders and liquidation events, compounding downward pressure.

Given the prolonged bearish trend, technical indicators have historically been employed to assess potential turning points or continuation of the decline. The most recent data suggests a continued bearish outlook, with support levels being tested and no significant reversal patterns emerging.

Backtest Hypothesis

A backtesting strategy was proposed to evaluate the effectiveness of a systematic approach in navigating the decline in C. The strategy involves setting a fixed stop-loss threshold of 5% below a 20-day moving average, with a buy signal triggered when the price closes above the 20-day SMA after a 15% pullback. The hypothesis is that this method could have mitigated some of the losses during the sharp decline and identified short-term rebounds for limited recovery plays.

The strategy also incorporates a trailing stop at 2.5% to lock in gains and minimize risk exposure during volatile periods. Performance is measured using a hypothetical $100,000 portfolio, with rebalancing occurring every 15 trading days to adjust for evolving market conditions.