The backtest results show that PGR has a strong positive response following earnings beats, with a 77.78% win rate at both 3 and 30 days, and a 5.50% average return over 30 days. The maximum return of 5.07% typically occurs around day 40, indicating sustained gains beyond the initial month. This suggests that PGR's stock price tends to appreciate significantly after positive earnings surprises.

The analysis highlights that while short-term gains are solid, the most substantial returns accumulate over a longer horizon, reinforcing the value of holding the stock post-earnings beat.

Investors might consider maintaining positions in PGR for at least 30 days after an earnings beat to capitalize on the observed upward trend.

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The backtest results show that PGR has a 60% win rate both at 3 and 30 days post-earnings miss, with a modest 3.26% average return over 30 days. However, the 10-day win rate dips to 40%, and the 10-day return is slightly negative at -0.10%. This suggests mixed short-term reactions but a generally positive medium-term recovery after earnings misses.

The analysis indicates that while immediate market response may be uncertain, holding PGR for a month post-earnings miss could yield gains. Investors might consider a medium-term position to capitalize on this rebound pattern.

The backtest results show that the Insurance Industry experienced no significant impact following earnings beats, with a maximum return of only 1.32% observed 12 days after the event. This indicates that earnings beats in this sector do not translate into meaningful price movements or sustained gains. Consequently, investors should be cautious about expecting strong positive returns solely based on earnings beats within the Insurance Industry, as the event appears to have limited influence on stock performance over the tested period.

The backtest results show that the Insurance Industry experiences a slight negative impact following earnings misses, with a maximum return of only 0.30% occurring three days after the event. This minimal positive return suggests that earnings misses do not significantly affect the industry's stock performance in the short term. The analysis indicates that the Insurance sector is relatively resilient or indifferent to earnings misses over the tested period. Investors might consider that earnings misses in this industry do not present strong trading opportunities or risks based on historical patterns.

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