The backtest results show that JPM exhibits a 69.23% win rate over both 10-day and 30-day periods following earnings beats, with an average 30-day return of 2.53%. This indicates a moderately positive market reaction that strengthens over time after the earnings announcement. The analysis suggests that while short-term gains are modest, holding JPM for up to 30 days post-earnings beat can yield more substantial returns. Investors might consider a medium-term position in JPM to capitalize on the typical positive price momentum after earnings beats.

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The backtest results show that JPM experienced a 100% win rate across 3-day, 10-day, and 30-day periods following an earnings miss, with returns of 2.52%, 5.49%, and 10.70% respectively. This indicates a strong positive price reaction despite the earnings miss, suggesting market resilience or other factors driving gains. The maximum return of 6.93% occurred on day 45, highlighting potential longer-term upside. Investors might consider that JPM stock can still deliver significant gains after earnings disappointments, possibly due to market expectations or subsequent positive developments.

The backtest results show that the Banks Industry experienced a negative impact following earnings beats, with a maximum return of only 0.58% occurring 59 days after the event. This suggests that despite positive earnings surprises, the sector's stock prices did not respond strongly or favorably over the tested period.

The analysis indicates that earnings beats in the Banks Industry do not translate into significant positive price movements, highlighting a potential disconnect between earnings performance and market reaction.

Investors should be cautious about expecting strong gains from earnings beats in this sector and consider other factors when making investment decisions.

The backtest results show that when the Banks Industry misses earnings expectations, the average maximum return is slightly negative at -0.15%, occurring immediately on the event day. This indicates a consistent but mild adverse market reaction within the sector. The minimal magnitude of the negative return suggests limited downside impact from earnings misses in this industry.

This outcome reflects the Banks Industry's sensitivity to earnings performance, though the effect is not severe. Investors should be cautious but not overly reactive to earnings misses in this sector, considering the small negative impact observed.

Investment strategies might focus on risk management rather than aggressive repositioning following such events in the Banks Industry.

Backtest JPM Release Earning Report

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