Is NVDA back in the game or just the calm before a bearish storm?
3/20/2025 07:19pm
**Nvidia's Current Position and Prospects**
1. **Recent Performance and Market Sentiment**:
- Nvidia's stock (NVDA) has recently shown a closing price of $117.52, with a resistance level at $120.45 and a support level at $115.68.
- The stock's last change was a 1.81% increase, indicating a positive movement.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|Support Level|Resistance Level|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20250319|117.52|115.6800|120.4450|185|
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- Nvidia's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 1.14, which suggests a bullish momentum.
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.82, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- The Bollinger Bands are at 119.98, which could suggest that the stock is trading in a normal range, without any immediate indication of a breakout.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Boll|RSI|KDJ|MACD|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20250319|119.9810|50.8220|84.3806|1.1358|185|
3. **Fundamental Analysis**:
- Nvidia's net fund flow is at $396.38 million, with block order net fund flow at $393.89 million, indicating significant inflows.
- The company's P/E ratio is 39.35, the P/S ratio is 21.97, and the Price to Book Ratio is 35.5, which could suggest that the stock is valued reasonably compared to its earnings and assets.
- Nvidia's EPS is $0.49, with a net income growth rate of 79.82% and a revenue growth rate of 77.94%.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|P/E(TTM)|P/S|Price to Book Ratio|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240320|75.917338|0|52.568756107776075|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240321|76.810315|0|53.18709572339336|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240322|79.207829|0|54.84724742891712|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240325|78.648841|0|55.26199450881847|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240326|76.628022|0|53.84208199543953|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240327|74.714826|0|52.49778956675508|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240328|74.80258|0|52.55944902042906|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240401|74.808375|0|52.563520871143375|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240402|74.05419|0|52.03359858532272|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20240403|73.650192|0|51.749732421238775|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Estimate EPS|Estimate EPS YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20250331|5.59|507.60869565217394|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20250630|0.64|-69.377990430622|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20250930|0.75|-77.67857142857143|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20251231|0.84|-81.8574514038877|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Estimate Revenue|Estimate Revenue YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20250331|2.465E10|278.06748466257665|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20250630|2.87E10|155.79322638146166|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20250930|3.309E10|105.23475779941698|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|20251231|3.802E10|84.38409311348207|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Net Income|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|2025 Q1|628.3896231032795|1.4881E10|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|2025 Q2|168.24499030381384|1.6599E10|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|2025 Q3|108.90403548631397|1.9309E10|185|
|NVDA|NVDA.O|Nvidia|2025 Q4|79.82091982091983|2.2091E10|185|
4. **Market Dynamics and Analyst Sentiment**:
- Despite a recent decline, Nvidia's stock has received positive updates from its supplier, Foxconn, which reported an increase in demand for Nvidia's AI server business.
- The company's guidance for 2026 remains robust, with projected revenue of $43.0 billion and gross margins expected to exceed 70%.
- Morgan Stanley has maintained an "Overweight" rating on Nvidia's shares, highlighting the company's strong financial health and growth potential.
5. **Conclusion**:
- Nvidia's current stock price and technical indicators suggest a stable and potentially bullish outlook.
- The company's strong financial performance and positive market sentiment from supplier updates and analyst ratings support this view.
- However, it's important to monitor the company's performance closely, as market dynamics can change rapidly.
In conclusion, Nvidia appears to be in a strong position with positive momentum, supported by strong financials and positive market sentiment. However, investors should remain vigilant and monitor any potential market changes that could impact the stock's performance.