Is BB going bankrupt?
8/9/2024 07:17am
**BlackBerry's current financial position indicates a high risk of bankruptcy, but the company has taken steps to mitigate this risk.** Here's a detailed analysis:
1. **Financial Health Indicators**:
- The current ratio of 1.43 suggests that BlackBerry has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities.
- The quick ratio of 1.43 is also indicative of strong short-term liquidity.
- The debt-to-equity ratio is not available, but a high current and quick ratio generally imply a lower debt-to-equity ratio, which is a positive sign.
|Ticker|Name|Quick Ratio|Debt-to-Equity Ratio|Current Ratio|Date|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BB.N|BlackBerry||||20241231|BB|169|
|BB.N|BlackBerry|||1.4268|20250331|BB|169|
2. **Free Cash Flow**: BlackBerry reported a significant negative free cash flow of $208 million, which is a red flag as it indicates that the company is spending more than it generates.
|Ticker|Name|Operating Cash Flow|Investing Cash Flow|Free Cash Flow|Financing Cash Flow|Date|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BB.N|BlackBerry|-1.5E7|-2.6E7|-2.07999996E8|1000000|2025 Q1|BB|169|
3. **Revenue and Net Income**: The company's revenue of $144 million and a net loss of $42 million for the quarter ending March 31, 2024, show that BlackBerry is not generating enough revenue to cover its losses.
4. **Leadership and Resilience**: BlackBerry's CEO, John Chen, has a history of rescuing the company from bankruptcy, which suggests that the company may be able to overcome its financial challenges.
5. **Market Position and Backlog**: BlackBerry has a large backlog of high-margin revenue that is expected to last for at least five years, which could provide a buffer against bankruptcy.
6. **Probability of Bankruptcy**: Various sources, including Macroaxis, estimate the probability of bankruptcy to be high, with some indicating that BlackBerry's likelihood of distress is above 80%.
In conclusion, while BlackBerry faces significant financial challenges, the company's strong liquidity position and strategic leadership may provide a path to sustainability. However, the high probability of bankruptcy suggests that the company's future is uncertain, and ongoing financial vigilance will be essential.