Xom a strong buy?


Aime
Exxon Mobil (XOM) is not currently a strong buy. Here's why:
- Valuation Metrics:
- Exxon Mobil's P/E(TTM) ratio is 16.98, which is relatively high, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued based on its earnings1.
- The company's P/B ratio is 2.01, and the P/S ratio is 1.6, indicating that the market is willing to pay a premium for the stock, which could be justified by its growth prospects but may also point to a need for caution1.
- Recent Performance:
- Despite a positive change of 3.88% in diluted EPS, the revenue growth rate is 12.24%, and the net income growth rate is 17.39%2. These growth rates are solid but may not be sufficient to justify the high P/E ratio.
- The stock has experienced a 10.82% gain over the past month, which is significant and outpaces the Oils-Energy sector's gain3. However, this recent performance may not be indicative of future growth.
- Analyst Sentiment:
- The consensus rating is "Moderate Buy" with an average price target of $134.18, which is above the current trading price45. This suggests that analysts believe there is some upside potential, but the moderate buy rating and the fact that the stock is not rated as a "Strong Buy" indicate a more cautious outlook.
- Recent analyst actions include price target increases, which could be positive, but also downgrades and price target reductions, which are neutral to negative45.
- Market Conditions and External Factors: The broader energy sector's performance and global economic conditions can impact Exxon Mobil's stock price. Volatility in oil prices and the overall market sentiment can also influence investor decisions.
- Earnings Estimates: The forecasted EPS for the upcoming earnings release is $1.97, which represents a 13.22% downward movement from the corresponding quarter of the prior year3. This could be a concern for investors looking for consistent growth.
In conclusion, while Exxon Mobil has strong revenue and net income growth and recent positive analyst actions, the high P/E ratio, recent stock price volatility, and the lack of a "Strong Buy" consensus rating suggest that it is not currently a strong buy. Investors should carefully consider these factors and their risk tolerance before making an investment decision.
XOM Diluted EPS YoY, Diluted EPS
Source:
1.
XOM P/E(TTM), P/B, P/S
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