Will tesla grow or decline next days

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Will tesla grow or decline next days?

6/5/2025 08:22pm

Aime

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle this question about whether Tesla will grow or decline in the next few days. The user is asking for a prediction based on the current data. First, I need to look at all the references provided to gather relevant information.

Starting with the earnings release date (Reference 1), Tesla's earnings are scheduled for April 22, 2025, which is after the market close. But the current date is June 5, 2025, so the earnings have already passed. That might not be directly relevant unless there's a follow-up or reaction to the earnings report, but the references don't mention that.

Next, the support and resistance levels (Reference 2) show that the current price is between the narrow and wide resistance levels, with a bullish trend but a bearish forecast. The advice is to sell, and the historical win rate is 53%, which is slightly above the market average. The indicators used are closing price and trading volume. This suggests some technical pressure on the stock.

The trend similarity-based price forecast (Reference 3) provides a mean forecast price of around $329.25 to $331.40 for the next few days, with confidence intervals. The expected max gain is 6.96%, and the max loss is -12.0%, with a bullish trend forecast. However, the current closing price on June 5 is $284.7, which is below the forecast range. This discrepancy might indicate a recent sharp decline, possibly due to external factors.

Looking at the news articles (References 4-21, 23-40), there's a lot of negative sentiment around Tesla. The main issues are the political feud between Elon Musk and President Trump over a tax bill, which has led to a significant drop in the stock price. Sales data in Europe and China are declining, while there's some positive news in Australia and South Korea. The stock price dropped by over 14% on June 5, hitting a low of $273.21, which is a significant drop from the 52-week high of $488.54 (Reference 13). The RSI is at 16.81 (Reference 18), which is oversold territory, suggesting potential short-term recovery.

The technical analysis (Reference 2) shows that the stock is currently between narrow and wide resistance levels, with a bullish trend but a bearish forecast. The advice is to sell, which aligns with the recent price drop. The RSI being oversold might indicate a bounce, but the overall market sentiment is bearish due to the political issues and sales declines.

The analyst ratings (Reference 20) show no recent changes, which might mean that the market is reacting more to news than to analyst opinions. The UOS value (Reference 40) is 30.31, which I'm not sure how to interpret without more context, but it's a technical indicator that might suggest some momentum.

Putting this all together, the immediate factors are the political fallout, sales issues, and technical indicators. The stock is oversold, which could lead to a short-term bounce, but the fundamental issues (like the tax bill and sales declines) might keep the pressure on. The forecast from Reference 3 suggests a possible upside, but the current price is much lower than the forecast, indicating that the market might not be pricing in those expectations yet.

I need to structure the answer with a conclusion first, then detailed analysis. The conclusion should state that Tesla is likely to face continued volatility with a bearish bias in the short term. The analysis should cover the political issues, sales data, technical indicators, and market sentiment. Also, mention the potential for a short-term bounce due to oversold conditions but caution about the ongoing risks.

Make sure to cite all relevant references and include the visualization for the earnings release date. The user is interested in technical analysis and market sentiment, so highlight those aspects. Also, use tables to present the data clearly.

Conclusion 🚨

Tesla (TSLA) is likely to face continued volatility with a bearish bias in the short term, driven by political tensions, sales declines, and technical resistance. However, oversold conditions and upcoming catalysts (e.g., robotaxi launch) could present opportunities for a short-term bounce.

📊 Detailed Analysis

1. Market Sentiment & Political Risks

Tesla’s stock dropped 14.26% on June 5, 2025, closing at $284.7 ¹². The plunge was fueled by:

Musk-Trump Feud: Elon Musk’s public criticism of Trump’s tax bill (eliminating EV subsidies) led to a 17% sell-off ⁴². Trump threatened to cut federal contracts with Musk’s businesses ³⁵.
Sales Declines: Tesla’s market share fell in Europe (-36% YoY in Germany) ⁶⁷, while China shipments dropped 15% ⁸⁷.

2. Technical Indicators

Support/Resistance: Current price ($284.7) is below narrow resistance ($325.71) and above wide support ($321.06) . The stock is bullish in trend but bearish in forecast .
RSI: Oversold at 16.81 (below 30) ⁹, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
Price Forecast: Mean forecast for June 5–7 is $329.25–$331.40 , but actual price is $284.7, indicating undervaluation.

3. Catalysts & Risks

Upside:
- Robotaxi Launch: Tesla plans to test autonomous taxis in Austin on June 12 ¹⁰¹¹.
- Market Share Recovery: Australia sales surged 675% YoY ¹², and South Korea saw Tesla as top imported car brand ¹³.
Downside:
- Regulatory Risks: Trump’s tax bill could eliminate EV subsidies, hitting Tesla’s margins ¹⁴⁵.
- Competition: BYD and VW are gaining market share in Europe ⁶⁷.

4. Key Data

Metric	Value (June 5, 2025)	Implication
Closing Price	$284.7 ¹	Below 52-week high ($488.54) ¹⁵
Trading Volume	275.48M shares ¹	High liquidity, bearish sentiment
RSI	16.81 ⁹	Oversold, potential bounce
Analyst Rating Changes	0 ¹⁶	No recent upgrades/downgrades

📉 Short-Term Outlook

Bearish Bias: Political risks and sales declines dominate.
Bounce Potential: Oversold RSI (16.81) and undervalued price ($284.7 vs. forecast $329.25) ⁹.
Key Levels: Watch $321.06 (wide support) and $325.71 (narrow resistance) .

🚨 Final Takeaway

Tesla faces immediate headwinds from political and regulatory risks but shows latent upside from technical oversold conditions and upcoming catalysts. Investors should brace for volatility and monitor key levels ($321.06–$325.71) for entry/exit opportunities.

Source:

1. TSLA Closing Price, Trading Volume