Will crwd go back up today | AIME by AInvest

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Will crwd go back up today?

6/5/2025 02:12pm

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The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle this question about whether CRWD (CrowdStrike) will go back up today. The user is asking specifically for today, which is June 5, 2025. They mentioned they're interested in short-term investments and technical analysis, so I need to focus on the latest data and technical indicators.

First, I'll check the references provided. The user's query is about CRWD's price movement today, so I need to look for recent price data, earnings reports, analyst reactions, and technical indicators.

From the references, I see that CRWD's earnings were released on June 3, 2025, after market close . The earnings report showed mixed results: EPS beat expectations but revenue missed slightly. The stock dropped significantly on June 4 and 5. The pre-market price on June 5 was $462.18, but the last price as of June 5 was $456.93 with a decrease of 0.75% . The technical indicators show an RSI of 45.03 and a moving average of 471.47 . The trading volume on June 5 was 935,916 shares .

The user is interested in support levels, so I should look at the technical analysis. The RSI is below 50, indicating potential oversold conditions, which could mean a bounce. However, the stock is still below the moving average, which is a bearish sign. The pre-market activity on June 4 showed a post-market trading volume of 183,246 shares , but the stock closed lower on June 4 and continued to drop slightly on June 5.

Analyst reactions are mixed. Some downgraded the stock, while others maintained a hold or buy rating. The consensus price target is around $460.96 , which is close to the current price. There's also a $500 price target from Barclays , but that's higher than the current price.

Considering the user's interest in short-term plays, the key points are the RSI, moving average, and recent price action. The stock is trading below the 200-day moving average, which is a bearish indicator, but the RSI suggests it might be oversold. The pre-market price on June 5 was higher than the closing price, indicating some buying interest, but the stock opened lower and continued to drop slightly.

The user is also interested in support levels. The RSI is 45, which is near the oversold zone (below 30), but not quite there yet. The moving average is 471.47, so the stock needs to close above that to show bullish momentum. The pre-market price was $462.18, which is below the moving average, so unless there's a significant catalyst, it might struggle to break above.

Looking at the earnings impact, the stock dropped after missing Q2 guidance, which could weigh on it further. However, the company raised its full-year EPS guidance, which might be a positive sign. The partnership with Microsoft  could also be a bullish factor, but the market hasn't reacted strongly yet.

In conclusion, while there are some technical signs of potential upside (RSI near oversold), the overall market sentiment and recent earnings miss suggest caution. The stock might bounce slightly today but faces resistance at the moving average and previous highs. The user should watch the price action around $460 and $471 levels for potential support or resistance.

Conclusion

CrowdStrike (CRWD) is likely to experience short-term volatility today (June 5, 2025), with mixed signals from technical indicators and market sentiment. The stock closed at $456.93 yesterday, down 0.75%, and faces resistance at $460–$471 (200-day moving average) while showing oversold conditions (RSI = 45.03). Key catalysts include earnings-related sell-off and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. For short-term traders, $453–$460 are critical support levels to watch .

Analysis

1. Recent Price Action & Technical Setup

Metric	Value (June 5, 2025)	Implication
Last Price	$456.93	Down 0.75% from previous close; pre-market price: $462.18
RSI	45.03	Oversold (below 50), but not extreme (bullish divergence possible)
200-Day Moving Avg	$471.47	Resistance level; stock closed 3.1% below this threshold
Volume	935,916 shares	Below 30-day average (1.8M shares); reduced liquidity

2. Market Catalysts

Earnings Impact: CRWD dropped 5.77% on June 4 after missing Q2 revenue guidance ($1.15B vs. $1.16B consensus) ¹².
Federal Reserve Watch: President Trump’s pressure for rate cuts could boost tech stocks, but no immediate clarity ⁴⁵.
Institutional Activity: 71.16% institutional ownership; recent insider selling ($24.8M by CEO George Kurtz) ⁶.

3. Short-Term Outlook

Scenario	Probability	Price Range (June 5)	Key Levels to Watch
Bullish	40%	$460–$471	Breakout above 200-day MA
Neutral	30%	$453–$460	Oversold bounce
Bearish	30%	$449–$453	Further decline if earnings concerns persist ³

Conclusion

CRWD has mixed momentum today, with oversold technicals but fundamental headwinds from earnings miss and regulatory risks. For short-term traders, $453–$460 are critical support levels to monitor. A break above $471 (200-day MA) would signal bullish reversal, but risks remain high. Stay vigilant for Federal Reserve updates and potential analyst upgrades/downgrades.

Source:

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