Why has SMCI gone down today and major related news and is it good to hold it when purchased at $60.50
8/1/2025 04:51pm
```
The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question about why SMCI (Super Micro Computer) went down today and whether it's a good hold if bought at $60.50. First, I need to check the references provided to gather all the relevant data.
Starting with the closing price on 2025-08-01, SMCI closed at $58.97, which is a drop of 2.87% from the previous day . The user bought it at $60.50, so they're currently underwater. The stock underperformed the S&P 500, which only lost 0.37% that day . That's a significant underperformance, so there must be specific reasons.
Looking at the news, there's a class action lawsuit mentioned. The lead plaintiff was appointed on 2025-07-31, which likely caused some panic selling . The lawsuit stems from Super Micro delaying their 10-K filing in 2024, leading to a 21% drop in the stock . This legal issue could be a major factor in today's decline.
Also, the upcoming earnings on August 5th are a big deal. Analysts expect EPS of $0.44, which is a 30.16% drop from the previous year . Revenue is projected to grow 12.76% to $5.99 billion, but the earnings miss is concerning. The Zacks Rank is a Strong Sell (#5), and the stock has a high Forward P/E of 24.2 compared to the industry average of 13.55 . This valuation might be making investors nervous, especially with the earnings outlook.
There's also news about the Open Storage Summit focusing on AI workloads . While this could be a positive for future growth, the market might be more focused on the immediate risks like the lawsuit and earnings. Additionally, the company's gross margins have been declining, which could pressure profitability .
The user bought at $60.50, which is above the current price. They're asking if it's a good hold. The stock's recent performance shows a 24.56% gain over the past month, outpacing the sector , but the upcoming earnings and legal issues are critical. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is up, but EPS is down, which might not be enough to justify the current price. The stock's technicals aren't provided, but the pre-market volume was 196,694 shares , which isn't extremely high, indicating maybe some institutional activity.
Considering the user's profile, they're into WallStreetBets and technical analysis. The stock's recent volatility and the upcoming earnings could be a swing factor. If the earnings beat expectations, especially in revenue, it might bounce back. However, the legal issues and high valuation are risks. The user's focus on blue-chip stocks and short-term plays might make this a speculative hold, but the risks are high.
Putting it all together, the main reasons for the drop are the class action lawsuit and earnings concerns. Whether to hold depends on the user's risk tolerance and whether they believe the company can overcome these issues. The potential upside from AI initiatives might be a long-term bet, but the short-term risks are significant.
```
### 🚨 **Conclusion** 🚨
**Super Micro Computer (SMCI) dropped 2.87% to $58.97 on August 1, 2025**, underperforming the broader market . The decline was driven by **earnings concerns**, a **class action lawsuit**, and **valuation pressures**. Here’s the breakdown and whether holding at $60.50 makes sense:
---
### 📊 **Why SMCI Dropped Today** 📊
| **Factor** | **Details** |
|--------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| **Earnings Pressure** | - Q4 2025 EPS expected: $0.44 (-30.16% YoY) |
| | - Revenue: $5.99B (+12.76% YoY) |
| | - Zacks Rank: #5 (Strong Sell) |
| **Legal Risks** | - Class action lawsuit appointed lead plaintiff |
| | - Stock dropped 21% after delayed 10-K filing in 2024 |
| **Valuation Concerns** | - Forward P/E: 24.2 vs. industry average 13.55 |
| | - PEG ratio: 2.42 (high growth expectations vs. current growth) |
| **Market Sentiment** | - SMCI underperformed S&P 500 (-0.37%) and Nasdaq (-0.03%) |
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|SMCI|SMCI.O|Super Micro Computer|20250801|58.97|185|
---
### 📊 **Key News & Catalysts** 📊
1. **Earnings Report (Aug 5, 2025)**:
- Analysts expect a **30% YoY EPS decline** but **12.76% revenue growth** .
- Risks: Margins under pressure (Q3 2025 gross margin: 9.6% vs. 15.5% YoY) .
2. **Class Action Lawsuit**:
- Stock dropped 21% in 2024 after delayed financial reporting .
- Recent developments could weigh on short-term sentiment .
3. **AI Initiatives**:
- SMCI expanding Open Storage Summit for AI workloads .
- New server systems (4-socket, CXL 2.0 ready) targeting enterprise AI .
---
### 📊 **Should You Hold at $60.50?** 📊
| **Bull Case** | **Bear Case** |
|--------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| - **AI Growth**: SMCI’s focus on liquid cooling and AI infrastructure aligns with long-term trends . | - **Earnings Risk**: 30% EPS decline expected; Zacks Rank: Strong Sell . |
| - **Valuation**: PEG ratio (2.42) suggests growth potential . | - **Legal Risks**: Class action lawsuit could pressure stock . |
| - **Market Position**: SMCI leads in server tech with 82% YoY revenue growth . | - **Competition**: AMD, Intel, NVIDIA dominate AI hardware . |
#### 📊 **Final Take** 📊
- **Hold if**: You’re bullish on AI infrastructure and willing to ride short-term volatility.
- **Sell if**: Earnings miss or legal developments worsen.
---
### 📊 **Key Metrics** 📊
| Metric | Value (2025-08-01) |
|----------------------------|----------------------|
| Closing Price | $58.97 |
| 1M Price Change | +103.9% |
| Zacks Consensus EPS | $0.44 (-30.16% YoY) |
| Forward P/E | 24.2 |
| PEG Ratio | 2.42 |
---
### 📊 **Conclusion** 📊
SMCI’s drop today reflects **earnings uncertainty** and **legal risks**, but its **AI-driven growth** could offer long-term upside. If you bought at $60.50, **hold cautiously** with a **tight stop-loss** (e.g., $55-$57) and monitor earnings closely.