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Which ETF are in a good position for a swing trader buy

7/22/2025 03:12pm

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle this question. The user is asking which ETFs are in a good position for a swing trader to buy. They're an experienced swing trader with a focus on technical analysis, fundamental strength, and market context. They prefer ETFs with certain criteria like high volatility, liquidity, and recent performance. First, I need to look at the references provided. The user mentioned swing trading, so I should focus on ETFs with high volatility and recent price movements. Let's check the references for ETF data. Looking at Reference 1, there's a list of ETFs with specific criteria: trading volume over 1 million shares, AUM between $1B and $10B, and recent percentage changes within certain ranges. The ETFs listed here include TMF.P, IYR.P, GDXJ.P, etc. These seem like good candidates because they meet the user's liquidity and volatility requirements. Next, the user is interested in swing trading, so I should consider technical indicators like ATR, RSI, and recent price changes. The ETFs in Reference 1 have ATR between 0.5 and 2, which indicates moderate to high volatility. The 1-week and 1-month percentage changes show some recent price movements, which could be entry points for swing traders. Also, the user prefers ETFs with no upcoming earnings reports. Checking the economic calendar in References 7 and 22, there are earnings announcements for several companies, but the ETFs themselves don't have earnings reports. So, the ETFs listed in Reference 1 should be safe from earnings-related volatility. The user also likes ETFs with a price per share above $5. All the ETFs in Reference 1 have prices well above $5, so that's a good fit. Additionally, the user is selective about fundamental strength. The ETFs listed include sectors like real estate (IYR.P), gold miners (GDXJ.P), and infrastructure (PAVE.B), which have shown resilience or growth in recent data. Looking at the recent news, Reference 4 mentions gold ETFs like GDX and GDXJ performing well, which aligns with the ETFs in Reference 1. Also, Reference 12 and 13 talk about Ethereum ETFs breaking records, but those aren't in the list from Reference 1. However, the user's focus is on swing trading, and the ETFs in Reference 1 have the necessary volatility and liquidity. I should also check if there are any other relevant ETFs in the references. Reference 6 and 21 have queries but no results, so they don't contribute. Reference 16 lists ETFs with support/resistance breakouts, but the user's criteria are more about swing trading, which is better addressed by the ETFs in Reference 1. Putting it all together, the ETFs from Reference 1 meet the user's criteria: high liquidity, moderate to high volatility, recent price movements, and no upcoming earnings. The sectors they cover are also showing positive trends in the market context provided. Therefore, these ETFs are well-positioned for swing traders looking for opportunities with the right balance of risk and potential reward. ``` ### Conclusion 🎯 **For swing traders seeking high-potential ETFs with favorable technical setups and market context, the following ETFs stand out as top candidates:** 1. **GDXJ.P (VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF)** 2. **TMF.P (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares)** 3. **IYR.P (iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF)** 4. **PAVE.B (Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF)** --- ### Detailed Analysis 📊 #### 1. **GDXJ.P (VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF)** - **Why It’s a Swing Trade Candidate**: - **Volatility**: 30-Day ATR = **1.82** , indicating high price swings. - **Recent Performance**: 1-week price change = **+1.42%**, 1-month = **-0.36%** . - **Market Context**: Gold miners have shown resilience amid central bank buying surges , with ETF inflows surging 4.35% YoY . - **Liquidity**: Trading volume = **4.96 million shares** . | Metric | Value | |------------------|-------------| | Last Price | $68.59 | | AUM | $5.56B | | 1-Week Change | +1.42% | #### 2. **TMF.P (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares)** - **Why It’s a Swing Trade Candidate**: - **Leverage**: 3x daily exposure to long-term Treasuries. - **Recent Performance**: 1-week price change = **+3.23%**, 1-month = **-3.14%** . - **Market Context**: Treasury ETFs have benefited from safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions . - **Liquidity**: Trading volume = **8.04 million shares** . | Metric | Value | |------------------|-------------| | Last Price | $36.4 | | AUM | $4.96B | | 1-Week Change | +3.23% | #### 3. **IYR.P (iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF)** - **Why It’s a Swing Trade Candidate**: - **Stability**: 30-Day ATR = **1.09** , offering moderate volatility. - **Recent Performance**: 1-week price change = **+1.45%**, 1-month = **+1.61%** . - **Market Context**: Real estate ETFs have shown resilience amid low interest rates , with AUM = **$3.6B** . - **Liquidity**: Trading volume = **6.8 million shares** . | Metric | Value | |------------------|-------------| | Last Price | $96.07 | | AUM | $3.6B | | 1-Week Change | +1.45% | #### 4. **PAVE.B (Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF)** - **Why It’s a Swing Trade Candidate**: - **Growth Potential**: 1-month price change = **+7.3%** . - **Recent Performance**: 1-week price change = **+1.48%** . - **Market Context**: Infrastructure ETFs align with U.S. government stimulus plans , with AUM = **$8.93B** . - **Liquidity**: Trading volume = **1.14 million shares** . | Metric | Value | |------------------|-------------| | Last Price | $45.14 | | AUM | $8.93B | | 1-Week Change | +1.48% | --- ### Key Takeaways 📝 - **Focus on Volatility**: ETFs like GDXJ.P and TMF.P offer high price swings for swing traders. - **Liquidity Matters**: All ETFs listed have trading volumes >1 million shares . - **Market Context**: Gold miners, Treasuries, and infrastructure ETFs align with current market trends . ETFs with Trading Volume > 1 million shares; $1 billion < Assets Under Management < $10 billion; -5% < 1-Week Percentage Change < 5%; -10% < 1-Month Percentage Change < 10%; 0.5 < 30-Day Average True Range < 2 |code|etf code|etf name|Last Price|Last Change|Trading Volume[20250721]|Assets Under Management[20250721]|atr30[20250721]|Percentage Change[20250620-20250721]|Percentage Change[20250716-20250721]|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |TMF|TMF.P|Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares|36.4|2.621934|8038885|4.955767467E9|1.1031|-3.139968|3.233125|169| |IYR|IYR.P|iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF|96.07|0.281837|6798984|3.596668203E9|1.0925|1.607615|1.446674|169| |GDXJ|GDXJ.P|VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF|68.59|3.625925|4956453|5.555238003E9|1.8236|-0.363161|1.419488|169| |ARKG|ARKG.B|ARK Genomic Revolution ETF|25.13|0.842697|2758207|1.013149738E9|0.9354|4.057971|3.2881220000000004|171| |SPLV|SPLV.P|Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF|72.71|0.052152000000000004|2546501|7.55787833E9|0.6604|1.2956260000000002|0.9720869999999999|169| |FEZ|FEZ.P|SPDR Euro STOXX 50 ETF|59.45|0.35449|1551011|4.808618841E9|0.6086|1.243188|0.26986|169| |MAGS|MAGS.B|Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF|57.61|0.734394|1337648|2.432243939E9|0.6926|7.803144|2.000708|171| |SDVY|SDVY.O|First Trust SMID Cap Rising Dividend Achievers ETF|35.83|-0.531903|1157111|8.292475355E9|0.5063|4.187264|1.157538|185| |PAVE|PAVE.B|Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF|45.14|-0.6383449999999999|1140841|8.930115578E9|0.6047|7.297362000000001|1.483813|171| |COPX|COPX.P|Global X Copper Miners ETF|44.88|2.302257|1138307|2.026424312E9|0.9468|4.3478259999999995|1.217862|169|