When is it a good time to purchase TSLA?
4/17/2025 03:01pm
**Tesla's stock presents a complex landscape for investors**, with both bearish and bullish factors influencing its trajectory. Here are key considerations to determine if it's a good time to purchase TSLA:
1. **Technical Indicators**: From a technical analysis perspective, Tesla's stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which could be seen as a bearish signal. However, the stock has shown resilience in holding the $208 and $220 levels, which are identified as important support zones. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved out of the oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Moving Average|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20250416|250.5440|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Boll|RSI|KDJ|MACD|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20250416|257.8700|41.1109|53.7048|3.0114|185|
2. **Fundamental Analysis**: Tesla's financials show a decline in net income and diluted EPS, with a significant year-over-year growth rate of -70.64% and -70.93%, respectively. The company's revenue growth rate is positive at 2.15%, but the three-year CAGRs for revenue, net income, and diluted EPS are negative at -24.62%, -24.93%, and -24.93%, respectively. The P/E ratio is high at 115.27, indicating that the stock is expensive relative to its earnings.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Total Revenue YoY|Diluted EPS YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q1|-54.9428909019299|-8.69304299369883|-53.42465753424656|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q2|-42.846212700841626|2.298712239740041|-46.15384615384615|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q3|16.240681576144837|7.845824411134903|16.98113207547169|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q4|-70.64081581266524|2.1456669448086783|-70.92511013215858|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|P/E(TTM)|P/S|Price to Book Ratio|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240417|36.417189|0|7.904263978218698|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240418|35.124967|0|7.6235850643572185|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240419|34.450253|0|7.477143891907751|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240422|33.278874|0|7.22290574529409|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240423|33.895019|0|7.356635010412875|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240424|37.983131|0|8.031693661743297|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240425|39.869051|0|8.430479413775824|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240426|39.42627|0|8.33685145460297|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240429|45.461214|0|9.612707216191092|185|
|TSLA|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240430|42.938064|0|9.079190819806767|185|
3. **Market Sentiment and Analysts**: The consensus rating for Tesla is "Buy" with an average price target of $367.13, indicating that analysts believe the stock has room to grow. However, the stock has been downgraded to a "Hold" rating by some analysts due to concerns about slowing sales and market volatility. The GF Value suggests that the stock is modestly undervalued, presenting potential opportunities for investors.
4. **Recent Performance and News**: Tesla's stock has experienced a significant decline, with a steep year-to-date drop of around 38%, and it is trading below its year-long average. The stock's performance has been impacted by various factors including weak global sales numbers, concerns about CEO Elon Musk's political involvement, and the company's Q1 2025 deliveries, which showed a 13% decrease compared to the same period last year.
5. **Strategic Position and Future Prospects**: Despite the challenges, Tesla remains a key player in the electric vehicle market, and its latest product offerings, such as the Cybertruck, could capture new market segments. The company's long-term vision beyond automobiles, including autonomy, AI, robotics, energy, and data, could hold promise.
In conclusion, whether it's a good time to purchase TSLA depends on your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and perspective on Tesla's ability to navigate current challenges and capitalize on its strategic positioning. Investors should consider both the bearish and bullish factors, and possibly wait for a clearer picture or a more favorable entry point, especially given the high valuation and recent stock price volatility.