Whats your take on panw buying s? Where do you think s will close on Thursday?
7/22/2025 11:33am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question about Palo Alto Networks (PANW) potentially buying SentinelOne (S) and where S might close on Thursday. First, I need to gather all the relevant information from the provided references.
Looking at the references, there are several mentions of PANW considering an acquisition of S. Specifically, references 16, 17, and 32 discuss this possibility. Reference 16 mentions that S shares jumped 8% on high volume due to rumors of a potential multi-billion dollar deal. Reference 17 states that PANW is considering a purchase of the Israeli cybersecurity company, with an estimated acquisition price of around $7 billion. Reference 32 also notes that S shares rose 8.6% on the news, with PANW shares up 3%.
Next, I need to assess the context. PANW is a leader in cybersecurity with a market cap of around $134 billion (reference 16). SentinelOne has struggled recently, losing about 12% since the year started (reference 16). PANW's strategy includes aggressive acquisitions, especially in AI-driven security solutions, which aligns with their platformization efforts (reference 33). The potential deal would strengthen PANW's position against competitors like CrowdStrike (CRWD) in the endpoint security market (reference 16, 17).
Now, considering the technical indicators for PANW from reference 2, the stock closed at $199.88 with a 2.09% gain. The MACD, RSI, KDJ, and BOLL indicators show mixed signals. The MACD is negative, suggesting bearish momentum, but the RSI is around 41-67, indicating no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. The BOLL bands are tight, suggesting low volatility. However, the recent news about the potential acquisition might cause volatility.
For SentinelOne (S), the stock price isn't directly provided, but based on the news, it's trading around $19.58 with an 8.6% increase on the acquisition rumors (reference 32). The average price target from analysts is $23.00, implying upside potential (reference 32). However, the stock has underperformed YTD, down 12%, while PANW is up 10.4% (reference 32).
The user is a tech enthusiast with a focus on high-growth areas like AI and cybersecurity. They prefer stocks with upside potential and have a moderate risk tolerance. The acquisition aligns with their interests in AI-driven platforms and cybersecurity. PANW's move to acquire S would likely be seen as strategic, enhancing their product offerings and market position.
Considering the market reaction, if the acquisition rumors are confirmed, S's stock could rally further. However, without official confirmation, there's uncertainty. The user's portfolio includes high-growth tech stocks like NVDA and PLTR, so they might be interested in the speculative upside of S.
Putting it all together, the potential acquisition is a significant catalyst for S. The stock might close higher on Thursday if the news gains traction, but it's speculative. PANW's technicals are mixed, but the strategic move could drive their stock as well. The user should consider the risk-reward ratio, given the high valuation multiples for PANW and the speculative nature of the acquisition rumors.
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### 🚀 **Conclusion**
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) acquiring SentinelOne (S) presents a **strategic opportunity** to bolster its AI-driven cybersecurity platform and compete more effectively in the endpoint security market. While the acquisition rumors are unconfirmed, **SentinelOne’s stock (S)** could **close near $20–$22** on Thursday, reflecting market optimism about the deal. PANW’s technical setup and recent performance suggest **short-term upside**, but **valuation risks** remain.
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### 📊 **Analysis**
#### 1. **Strategic Fit for PANW**
Palo Alto Networks is aggressively expanding its AI-driven cybersecurity solutions, as evidenced by its recent acquisition of Protect AI . SentinelOne’s expertise in endpoint protection and AI-driven threat detection aligns perfectly with PANW’s platformization strategy. A $7 billion deal (as rumored) would strengthen PANW’s competitive edge against CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Zscaler (ZS) .
#### 2. **Market Reaction to Rumors**
- **PANW**: Closed at **$199.88** (+2.09%) with mixed technical signals . MACD is bearish (-0.79 to -3.24), but RSI (41.12–61.45) and BOLL bands suggest **neutral-to-bullish momentum** .
- **S**: Surged **+8.6%** to **$19.58** on acquisition rumors, with a **$23.00 average price target** from analysts . However, S has underperformed YTD (-12%), while PANW is up **+10.4%** .
#### 3. **Risks & Catalysts**
- **Catalysts**: PANW’s Q3 earnings (expected EPS: $0.88, +17.33% YoY) . A confirmed deal with S could trigger a **short squeeze** in S’s stock.
- **Risks**: High valuation multiples (PANW’s Forward P/E: 59.8 vs. industry average 75.08) . S’s weak fundamentals (ARR guidance cut to $996M–$1B) .
#### 4. **Price Outlook for S**
- **Bull Case**: If PANW confirms the deal, S could rally to **$22–$25** (aligned with its $23.00 median PT).
- **Bear Case**: If rumors fade, S might pull back to **$18–$20**, reflecting its current trading range.
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### 📊 **Final Take**
PANW’s potential acquisition of S is a **high-impact event** for both stocks. PANW’s **long-term upside** (aligned with your tech-focused portfolio) is compelling, but **short-term volatility** is likely. S’s stock offers **speculative upside**, but **valuation risks** persist. Monitor PANW’s Q3 earnings and any updates on the acquisition for further clarity.
**Final Prediction**:
- **PANW**: $195–$205 (neutral-to-bullish).
- **S**: $20–$22 (bullish scenario).
Let me know if you’d like to dive deeper into the technicals or risk-reward profile! 🚀