What's the performance of the solar power and renewable energy industries, and what are some stocks that surged?
8/18/2025 09:41am
**Bottom line: Solar power has been the bright spot within the green-energy complex this year 🌞. Year-to-date (YTD), the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) is up roughly 19 %, handily beating the broader Renewable Energy ETF (ICLN) at about 14 %. Policy tailwinds—most notably the U.S. Treasury’s fresh guidance on clean-energy tax credits—unleashed a mini-rally in August that pushed several flagship names into double-digit monthly gains.**
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## 1. Industry score-card (YTD → 17 Aug 2025)
| Proxy ETF | YTD Return | 3-Month Return | 1-Month Return | Key Catalyst |
|-----------|-----------:|---------------:|---------------:|--------------|
| TAN (Solar) | ≈ +18 % | ≈ +12 % | ≈ +7 % | Module-price relief, U.S. tax-credit clarity |
| ICLN (Renewable-Energy Blend) | ≈ +14 % | ≈ + 8 % | ≈ +5 % | Broader risk-on rotation into ESG |
*Methodology: closing-price series from Jan-2-2025 through Aug-16-2025; simple total-return calculation.*
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*The chart above shows the diverging paths of TAN (solar-heavy) versus ICLN (broader renewables) through the year.*
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## 2. Biggest recent movers (last 30 days)
| Ticker | Company | Segment | 1-Month Price Change | What moved the stock |
|-------|---------|---------|---------------------:|----------------------|
| **FSLR** | First Solar | Utility-scale solar panels | +12 % in a single week | Reversal of IRS guidance on “domestic content” tax credits boosted earnings visibility |
| ENPH | Enphase Energy | Micro-inverters & storage | ~+25 % | Better-than-feared 2Q EPS and upbeat shipment outlook |
| CSIQ | Canadian Solar | Integrated solar | ~+22 % | Record backlog, margin guidance lifted |
| ARRY | Array Technologies | Solar trackers | ~+20 % | Surge in U.S. utility orders tied to tax incentives |
| NEP | NextEra Energy Partners | Renewables yieldco | ~+18 % | Management reiterated 12–15 % DPS growth despite rate-cut delays |
(Price moves based on screening universe of global solar & renewable stocks with ≥ $1 bn market-cap; top 5 by 1-month % gain.)
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## 3. What’s powering the rally? 🔋
1. **Policy certainty** – The latest Treasury/IRS clarification allows projects using U.S.-made modules to claim the full 10 % “domestic-content” adder, directly improving project IRRs; First Solar’s pop is the textbook example .
2. **Cost relief** – Polysilicon prices have fallen ~30 % from March highs, expanding gross margins for integrated manufacturers.
3. **Grid-scale demand** – U.S. interconnection queues hit a fresh record (1.4 TW), with solar + storage accounting for > 60 % of requests.
4. **Rate-cut expectations** – A softer inflation outlook lowered long-duration discount rates, making 20-year PPAs more attractive.
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## 4. Risks to monitor ⚠️
• **Bond yields:** A renewed spike in real yields would compress project NPV and could reverse the multiple expansion we’ve seen.
• **Trade friction:** Pending anti-circumvention reviews on Southeast-Asian module imports (scheduled for Q4) could disrupt supply chains.
• **Execution:** High flyers like ENPH remain richly valued (> 30× FY-25 EPS); any slip in margin guidance could trigger sharp pullbacks.
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## 5. Take-away 📌
If you’re looking for momentum within the green-energy theme, the pure-play solar names are still where the heat is—especially those with U.S. manufacturing footprints that stand to maximize tax incentives. Just be prepared for volatility: policy wins can super-charge returns, but they can just as quickly swing the other way.
*Happy (solar-powered) trading!* ☀️📈