What's driving COLD's consistent earnings misses?

Americold Realty Trust Inc (COLD) has experienced inconsistent financial performance with recurring earnings misses, primarily driven by the following factors:

1. **Revenue Segmentation**: The company's revenue is segmented into Warehouse, Transportation, and Third-Party Managed. The Third-Party Managed segment contributed $40.67 million, which is relatively small compared to the $2.42 billion from the Warehouse segment and $209.13 million from Transportation. This indicates that fluctuations in the Third-Party Managed segment can significantly impact overall revenue, potentially leading to misses.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Business Composition|Revenue By Business|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|20240101-2024|Third-Party Managed|4.0669E7|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|20240101-2024|Third-Party Managed|3.0574E7|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|20240101-2024|Third-Party Managed|2.0348E7|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|20240101-2024|Third-Party Managed|1.0417E7|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|20240101-2024|Third-Party Managed|1.0417E7|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|20240101-2024|Warehouse|5.9771E8|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|20240101-2024|Transportation|5.6853E7|169|

2. **Growth Rate and Net Margin**: There is no available data on the growth rate and net margin, which are crucial in understanding the company's profitability and operational efficiency. Lack of growth in these areas can contribute to earnings misses.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue YoY|Total Revenue|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q1|-1.7012841302667152|6.6498E8|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q2|1.746432474869537|6.60955E8|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q3|0.9330193326037258|6.74171E8|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q4|-1.8925615089851036|6.66435E8|169|

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Profit Margin YoY|Net Profit Margin|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q1|487.79268613522754|1.474|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q2|49.1360891205276|-4.1184|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q3|46.868738387555105|-2.9168|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q4|71.75145285283853|-3.5533|169|

3. **Earnings Surprise**: The most recent earnings report revealed an EPS surprise of -$0.23, with a diluted EPS of -$0.13. This indicates a significant negative earnings surprise, which could be due to unexpected expenses, losses, or revenue shortfalls.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Estimate EPS|EPS Surprise|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q1|0.02|0.01|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q2|0.05|-0.28|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q3|0.1|-0.11|169|
|COLD|COLD.N|Americold Realty|2024 Q4|0.1|-0.23|169|

4. **Historical Performance**: Historical earnings reports have shown variability, with a net loss of $336.3 million for the full year ending December 31, 2023, or $1.22 loss per diluted common share. This historical volatility suggests that consistent earnings misses may be a recurring pattern for the company.
5. **Dividend Payout**: The company has a high dividend payout ratio of 183.3%, indicating that it is relying heavily on its balance sheet to cover dividend payments. This high payout ratio could potentially strain financial resources, impacting the company's ability to meet earnings expectations.

In conclusion, COLD's consistent earnings misses are likely a result of a combination of factors including its revenue segmentation, lack of growth in key financial metrics, earnings surprises, historical performance, and high dividend payout ratio. These elements together create a complex financial landscape where missing earnings become a recurring feature.