What will Tesla stock do tomorrow
6/5/2025 09:47pm
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question about Tesla's stock movement tomorrow. The user is asking specifically what TSLA will do the next day, which is June 6, 2025. They're a short-term speculative investor looking for at least a 1% gain, so I need to focus on factors that could cause quick price swings.
First, I'll check the references provided. The earnings release date is April 22, 2025, which is already past, so that's not relevant for tomorrow. The time-series price trend forecast shows a bullish trend with a continuation probability of 38%, but that's a bit low. The support and resistance levels are between 321.06 and 336.93, and the current price is near the narrow resistance level. The forecast advice is bearish with a sell recommendation, which might indicate downward pressure.
Looking at the trend similarity-based price forecast, the mean forecast for June 6 is $331.40 with a 34% confidence interval between $327.36 and $335.45. The 68% CI is wider, from $323.31 to $335.45. The expected max gain is 6.96%, but the max loss is -12.0%, which is quite volatile. The trend forecast here is bullish, but the recent price action shows a drop to $284.70 on June 5, which is below the support levels mentioned earlier. That might indicate a breakdown, which could lead to further declines.
The news articles from June 5 mention significant political tensions between Elon Musk and President Trump, which caused a sharp drop in Tesla's stock. The stock closed at $284.70, down 14.26%, with high trading volume. This political risk is a major factor. Additionally, there's concern about EV market share losses in Europe and China, which could impact future sales. However, there's also positive news about Australia sales surging, which might provide some upside potential.
The technical indicators from June 5 show an RSI of 16.81, which is oversold, and a MACD of -13.63, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI being so low could signal a potential bounce, but the MACD is still negative, suggesting the downtrend might continue.
The user is interested in short-term movements, so I need to consider the upcoming events. There's no pre-market activity data for June 6, but the earnings release is already past. The robotaxi launch in Austin is scheduled for June 12, which might be a catalyst, but that's a week away. The political situation is still unresolved, which could cause more volatility.
Putting this all together, the stock is oversold technically but faces significant headwinds from political issues and market share losses. The forecast models suggest a bearish trend with potential for a bounce but also risks of further decline. The user is looking for a 1% gain, so I need to assess if there's enough upside potential. The mean forecast is around $331, which is higher than the recent close, but the stock might not reach that quickly. The political tensions could cause more selling pressure, but the oversold RSI might lead to a short-term rally.
I should structure the answer to highlight the key factors: political risks, technical indicators, market share concerns, and upcoming catalysts. The conclusion should be cautious, noting the high volatility and mixed signals. The user's focus on short-term gains means I should mention the potential for a bounce but also the risks of further drops. The answer needs to be clear, using tables and visualizations where possible, and adhere to the formatting requirements.
🚨 Conclusion 🚨
Tesla (TSLA) stock faces high volatility tomorrow (June 6, 2025) due to political tensions, technical breakdowns, and mixed market forecasts. While there’s a potential bounce from oversold levels, the bearish momentum and market share risks could drive further declines. Key Takeaway: TSLA is a high-risk, high-reward play for short-term traders, with a 50-50 chance of a 1%+ swing either way.
📊 Analysis 📊
1. Political Risks & Market Sentiment
Tesla’s stock dropped 14.26% on June 5, 2025, to $284.70 12, driven by a public feud between Elon Musk and President Trump over a controversial tax bill 34. Musk’s anti-administration stance and DOGE-related fallout have spooked investors, with Tesla’s market cap plunging $150B since Musk left the White House 6.
- Key Data:
Metric Value Implication Closing Price (June 5) $284.70 Below $305 support level Trading Volume 283.98M shares High liquidity for volatility Market Cap $1.07T Down 14% from $1.23T 5
2. Technical Indicators
Tesla’s technicals paint a bearish picture but hint at a short-term bounce:
- RSI: 16.81 (oversold) 7
- MACD: -13.63 (bearish momentum) 7
- Support/Resistance: Current price ($284.70) is below the $321.06 wide support , signaling a breakdown.
3. Market Share & Competition
Tesla’s **
Source:
1.
TSLA Closing Price, Trading Volume
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