What we expect for price movement on lam research October 21 2024
10/20/2024 09:31pm
Given the available data, here's an analysis of what we might expect for Lam Research (LRCX) on October 21, 2024:
1. **Technical Indicators**:
- The closing price of LRCX on October 18, 2024, was $72.84, which is below its 5-Day, 10-Day, and 20-Day moving averages of $76.44, $79.16, and $80.12, respectively. This suggests a bearish trend in the short term.
- The 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement over the same period was $370.93, and the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement was $555.33. The stock is currently trading below these levels, indicating a potential for further declines.
2. **Market Sentiment**:
- The stock has experienced a decrease of 7.31% over the last month, which is not in line with the gains in the Computer and Technology sector and the S&P 500. This suggests that Lam Research may be underperforming compared to its peers.
- The recent preannouncement of weak earnings by ASML, a key supplier, has caused a decline in semiconductor stocks, including Lam Research. This weak outlook could continue to impact Lam Research's stock price.
3. **Upcoming Earnings Report**:
- Lam Research is scheduled to release its earnings report on October 23, 2024. The anticipation of this report could lead to volatility as investors adjust their positions.
4. **Short-Term Outlook**:
- The lack of positive short-term technical indicators and the negative net fund flow of $370.96 million suggest a bearish sentiment in the immediate term.
- However, the expected year-over-year increase in earnings and revenue in the upcoming quarter could provide some support for the stock price.
5. **Conclusion**:
- Given the current technical indicators and market sentiment, it is likely that LRCX will continue to face downward pressure in the short term. However, the upcoming earnings report could provide a catalyst for a rebound, especially if the actual results exceed expectations.
- Investors should monitor the stock's performance closely in the lead-up to the earnings report and consider the potential for a positive surprise to influence the stock's price movement on October 21, 2024.