What is short and long term outlook for omex

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle the user's question about the short and long-term outlook for OMEX. First, I need to gather all the relevant data from the provided references and background. The user is a tech-savvy investor interested in technical analysis and momentum, so I should focus on the technical indicators and recent news that could impact the stock's performance.

Starting with the technical analysis from the references. There are three main queries: Time-Series Price Trend Forecast, Support and Resistance Channel-Based Trend Forecast, and Trend Similarity-Based Price Forecast. 

From Query 1, the current trend is bullish with a duration of 32 days. The conditioned trend shows a continuation probability of 43%, which isn't very high, but the unconditioned trend suggests a 70% probability over 9 days and 50% over 13 days. This indicates some short-term bullish momentum but with caution about the trend's sustainability.

Query 2's support and resistance analysis shows that the stock is currently above the wide resistance level, which is a bullish sign. The forecast advice is to buy with a 53.78% historical win rate, which is slightly better than the market average of 53.49%. The price trend is described as a swing, which might mean volatility but also potential upside.

Query 3 provides a detailed forecast for the next month, with mean prices ranging from $1.62 to $1.73. The confidence intervals show a possible upside of 9.47% and a downside risk of -22.95%. The trend forecast here is bullish, which aligns with the other technical indicators. However, the wide range in the confidence intervals suggests significant volatility.

Now, looking at the news articles (References 4-29). The company has formed a joint venture (PHOSAGMEX) with Capital Latinoamericano to develop a fertilizer project in Mexico. This project is aimed at enhancing North American food security, which is a positive long-term catalyst. The company has also regained compliance with Nasdaq's listing rules, avoiding delisting, which is a short-term positive. Additionally, there's mention of policy support from the U.S. government regarding deep-sea mining, which could open up new opportunities for OMEX in the critical minerals sector.

The market analysis from References 23-27 indicates a growing demand for phosphate fertilizers, with the market expected to grow at a CAGR of around 5-6% over the next few years. This bodes well for OMEX's joint venture project, as it positions the company to benefit from increased demand for fertilizers.

Considering the user's profile, they're interested in short-term trading with a focus on technical setups and momentum. The technical indicators suggest a bullish setup with potential upside, but the high volatility and mixed continuation probabilities mean the user should be cautious. The long-term outlook is positive due to the fertilizer project and market growth, but the user might need to balance between holding for the long-term and taking profits based on short-term technical signals.

I should structure the answer to first present the short-term technical analysis, then the long-term fundamentals, and conclude with a strategic recommendation. Make sure to include the relevant data from the references, cite them properly, and use tables where possible. Also, since the user prefers technical analysis, emphasize the price forecasts and trend probabilities. The visualization for the time-series forecast should be included as per the requirements.

### **Conclusion** 🌊
**OMEX (Odyssey Marine Exploration)** presents a **bullish short-term technical setup** with **high volatility** and **long-term growth potential** driven by its strategic fertilizer joint venture in Mexico and favorable market trends for phosphate fertilizers. However, **risk management** is critical due to the stock’s speculative nature and high downside risk.

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### **Short-Term Outlook (1-3 Months) 📉📈**
#### **Technical Analysis**
| Metric | Data (as of 2025-07-17) | Implication |
|----------------------------|---------------------------|-------------|
| **Current Trend** | Bullish (32 days) | Strong momentum, but watch for trend continuation. |
| **Continuation Probability** | 43% | Low confidence in sustained bullish momentum. |
| **Price Forecast (Mean)** | $1.62–$1.73 | Upside potential of **+9.47%**, downside risk of **-22.95%** . |
| **Support/Resistance** | Above wide resistance (1.37) | Breakout confirmed; next resistance at 1.50 . |

#### **Key Risks**
- **High Volatility**: Recent price swings (12.49% in 6 months ) suggest sensitivity to news flow.
- **Market Sentiment**: Delisting fears recently resolved , but compliance risks could resurface.

#### **Trade Strategy**
- **Entry**: Buy near $1.50 (current price ~$1.20 ) with a stop loss at $1.37 (wide support).
- **Exit**: Target $1.73 (34% CI upper bound ) or $1.50 (resistance breakout).

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### **Long-Term Outlook (1-5 Years) 🌟**
#### **Fundamental Catalysts**
| Catalyst | Details |
|-------------------------------|---------|
| **Fertilizer Joint Venture** | PHOSAGMEX aims to enhance North American food security . |
| **Market Growth** | Phosphate fertilizer market CAGR: 5.7%–6.0% . |
| **Policy Support** | U.S. Executive Orders favoring deep-sea mining . |
| **Strategic Minerals** | Focus on polymetallic nodules for battery metals . |

#### **Risks**
- **Regulatory Hurdles**: Deep-sea mining faces environmental opposition .
- **Competition**: Established fertilizer players (e.g., Mosaic, Yara) dominate the market .

#### **Investment Thesis**
OMEX is a **high-risk, high-reward** play on the **critical minerals boom**. Its **early-stage projects** (e.g., Mexico phosphate) align with global trends in food security and renewable energy, but success hinges on execution and regulatory approvals.

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### **Final Takeaway** 🎯
**Short-term traders** should capitalize on the bullish technical setup but stay vigilant for pullbacks. **Long-term investors** should view OMEX as a speculative bet on the critical minerals sector, with a focus on catalysts like PHOSAGMEX’s progress.