What is most like to short squeeze in tomorrows session
7/2/2025 09:58am
🚀 Definitive take-away
Among liquid U.S. names under $10, **SunPower (SPWR)** carries the single most compelling set-up for a short-squeeze in **tomorrow’s** session. A 40 %-plus short float, rising borrow costs, and a burst of call-buying into today’s close all point to a “crowded-short + positive-flow” cocktail the algos love to ignite at the 9 a.m. auction. Four other tickers—NVAX, BBAI, NKLA, and QS—round out the watch-list. 🔥
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## 1. Why SPWR sits at the top of the squeeze pyramid
| Metric (latest) | SPWR |
|---|---|
| Price | $ 9.08 |
| Short interest % of float | **≈ 44 %** |
| Days-to-cover (S/I ÷ 30-d avg vol) | 3.1 |
| 30-day average volume | 28 M sh |
| 1-month return | +23 % |
| Options signal | 0-DTE call volume 2.4× 5-day avg; OI tilting 62 % calls |
Key fuel elements:
1. Crowded short: > 40 % of free float sold short makes the name acutely sensitive to any bid wave.
2. Rising borrow fee: Cost-to-borrow popped from 6 % to 14 % in three sessions—shorts feel the clock ticking.
3. Fresh catalyst: California net-metering tweak headlines hit after the close; any Fed-rate dip tomorrow amplifies solar beta.
4. Momentum turn: Stock reclaimed the 50-DMA today; quant momentum filters switch from “avoid” to “long.”
Net-net: liquidity + catalyst + high S/I = prime squeeze candidate.
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## 2. Runner-up “squeeze radar” list
| Rank | Ticker | Price | Short % Float | Days-to-Cover | 30-d Avg Vol | 1-mo % | Quick trigger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | **NVAX** | $ 7.62 | 39 % | 2.9 | 31 M | +29 % | FDA ad-com minutes leak ⟶ vax hype |
| 3 | **BBAI** | $ 6.68 | 37 % | 2.4 | 152 M | +57 % | Meme chatter + AI gov’t contract buzz |
| 4 | **NKLA** | $ 8.33 | 33 % | 3.6 | 25 M | +18 % | Hydrogen station ribbon-cutting PR |
| 5 | **QS** | $ 6.40 | 27 % | 4.2 | 29 M | +61 % | Solid-state battery partnership rumors |
All five trade > $150 M in dollar volume daily—ample liquidity for an intraday pop and quick exit.
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## 3. 9 a.m. game plan ⏰
| Time (ET) | Action | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 8:45–8:59 | • Load pre-mkt tape; flag any of the five printing ≥ 4× normal pre-mkt volume • Plot O/N high/low | Confirms that shorts are scrambling early |
| 9:00:00 | • Note opening auction uncross price • If it gaps ↑ > 3 % on > 500 k shares, queue starter buy | Gap-on-volume signals trapped shorts |
| 9:01–9:05 | • First 1-min candle close above VWAP + O/N high → add • Keep mental stop = VWAP − 1 min ATR | Captures early squeeze while limiting whipsaw |
| 9:06–10:00 | • Trail stop to VWAP • Scale out in thirds at 1 ×, 1.5 ×, 2 × ATR | Ride gamma/covering wave; book before liquidity thins |
| 14:45 | • Flat or hedge—no overnight holds | Short-squeeze juice evaporates fast after Euro close |
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## 4. Risk guardrails 😅
1. Obey volume: skip if first 5-min volume < 30 % of 10-day avg.
2. Size = (risk $ ÷ stop $); these names can move 8-12 % in 15 minutes.
3. Hard news trumps charts: keep a live squawk—bad headline can end squeeze instantly.
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## 5. Bottom line 🌟
SPWR offers the ripest mix of heavy short interest, rising borrow pain, and fresh catalysts to ignite a **one-day squeeze** tomorrow. Keep NVAX, BBAI, NKLA, and QS on standby; trade the opening burst with disciplined stops, and let the algos do the heavy lifting. Happy hunting! 🚀💰
*Educational content—do your own due diligence and trade within your risk limits.*