The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure the difference between the current price and the historical average price of a security. It is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market and to detect changes in trend direction12.
- Calculation: The CCI is calculated using the formula:
CCI = \frac{1}{0.015} \left( \frac{p_t - SMA(p_t)}{[MD](aime://?jumpType=pos_fenshi&pos=425)(p_t)} \right)
where pt is the typical price (the average of the high, low, and close prices), SMA is the simple moving average, and MD is the mean absolute deviation34.
- Interpretation: A positive CCI value indicates that the current price is above the historical average, suggesting an overbought condition. Conversely, a negative CCI value indicates that the current price is below the historical average, suggesting an oversold condition12.
- Trading Signals: Traders often look for extreme values of the CCI to identify potential trading opportunities. For example, a CCI value above 100 may indicate an overbought condition, suggesting a potential price correction. Similarly, a CCI value below -100 may indicate an oversold condition, suggesting a potential price rebound12.
- Market Analysis: The CCI can also be used to analyze market trends and to identify potential reversals. A rising CCI value suggests an accelerating upward trend, while a falling CCI value suggests a decelerating downward trend45.
In summary, the Commodity Channel Index is a technical analysis tool that helps traders and investors assess the extent of price deviations from historical averages, thereby aiding in the identification of potential trading opportunities and market reversals.