A bull trap refers to a market phenomenon where a security, such as a stock, appears to be reversing from a downtrend to an uptrend, luring in bullish investors who then experience deeper losses. This term is used to describe a temporary reversal in an otherwise bearish market that is designed to trap long investors. Here are some key points to understand about bull traps12:
- Appearance of a Reversal: A bull trap occurs when a security's price breaks above a resistance level, which is typically seen as a bullish signal. This can be accompanied by a convincing rally, which further encourages investors to buy.
- Trap for Long Investors: Traders and investors who are bullish and buy into the breakout at the time of the reversal are "trapped" in the trade. The price often reverses direction shortly after, leading to losses on their long positions.
- Psychological Factors: Bull traps are often driven by psychological factors, such as the desire of buyers to enter a trade at the first sign of a price rise and a lack of evidence for a sustainable move to the upside.
- Technical Indicators: Technical indicators such as trading volume and resistance levels can help identify bull traps. Low volume breakouts and indecisive candlesticks, such as a doji star, can be warning signs of a bull trap.
- Avoidance Strategies: To avoid falling into a bull trap, traders should look for confirmations after a breakout, set tight stop-loss orders, and be cautious when trading reversals.