Lavoro's (LVRO) earnings surprise history suggests a challenging outlook for future quarters, with a bearish trend in the stock price and a significant negative earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter.
- Earnings Surprise History: Lavoro has a history of negative earnings surprises, with the most recent estimate EPS of -0.49 for the fiscal quarter ending June 30, 2025, indicating a potential shortfall in earnings compared to market expectations1.
- Stock Price Trend: The stock is currently in a bearish trend, which has persisted for 38 days. This suggests that the market may be anticipating further declines in the stock price, at least in the near term.
- Probability of Trend Continuation: The probability of the bearish trend continuing is 50%, with a 70% probability of the trend persisting for approximately 13 days. This indicates that while there is a chance of a reversal, it is not until the 13th day after the latest closing price.
- Revenue Estimate: The estimated revenue for the fiscal quarter ending June 30, 2025, is $505.7 million. While this is a positive indicator, it may not be enough to drive a positive sentiment in the market, especially if the market is concerned about the company's profitability and earnings trajectory1.
In conclusion, Lavoro's earnings surprise history and current stock price trend forecasts suggest that the company may face continued challenges in the coming quarters, with a high likelihood of negative earnings surprises and further declines in the stock price. Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor the company's performance and market conditions.