What do u think in the XAGUSD, daily timeframe pattern its shoulder head shoulder.. Reaching a new highg in the decade will it go up based on news or just making a new higher.. Or other reasons


Aime
The XAG/USD double bottom pattern is not currently showing any data, which makes it difficult to analyze the pattern in real-time. However, we can look at the recent news and technical analysis to make an informed prediction.
- Current Price and Recent Movement:
- As of the latest data, Silver (XAG/USD) is trading around $32.101.
- The price has been supported by safe-haven flows amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and is also benefiting from easing monetary policies from major central banks1.
- Technical Indicators:
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bullish, indicating growing momentum, with key resistance levels at $32.95 and $33.002.
- The price is above the 50-day moving average (DMA) of $30.13, which could be a strong support level2.
- Market Sentiment and News Factors:
- Geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in Lebanon and the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict, are likely to keep Silver prices supported as a safe-haven asset13.
- The expectation of interest rate reductions by major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, is also contributing to Silver's appeal as a non-yielding asset13.
- Potential Limiting Factors:
- A stronger US Dollar, which is expected due to the US Retail Sales growth and lower jobless claims, could limit Silver's upward movement as it makes Silver less attractive to foreign investors4.
- Historically, higher US Treasury yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Silver4.
- Conclusion and Prediction:
- Based on the current technical indicators and supportive news, Silver is poised for further gains. The bullish momentum, combined with key resistance levels yet to be surpassed, suggests that buyers are targeting higher prices.
- However, the influence of the US Dollar and Treasury yields could act as counterweights. Therefore, while Silver may continue its upward trend, it is important to monitor these factors for potential shifts in sentiment.
- In the short term, the price is likely to consolidate below $32.00 as investors await fresh cues on the Fed’s monetary policy action. Once the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions are clear, Silver’s direction could be more decisively determined.
In summary, while the current indicators and news suggest that Silver may continue its upward trend, it is crucial to monitor the US Dollar and Treasury yields for potential influences on its price movement.
Source:
f
1.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD moves above $34.00 due to rising geopolitical tensions
more
less
Continue this conversation 

Explore
Screener
Analysis
Learn
News
Wiki