The long-term growth projections for VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) are positive, based on several factors:
- Historical Performance: VTI has produced an average return of 8.75% since its inception in 20011. This consistent performance indicates a strong potential for long-term growth.
- Market Coverage: VTI tracks the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index, which represents approximately 100% of the investable U.S. stock market2. This broad coverage means that VTI can capture the returns of the entire U.S. equity market, which has delivered high-single-digit returns over the long term.
- Economic Forecasts: Vanguard's outlook for financial markets indicates positive trade developments with China, which have led to a double estimate for U.S. growth and a less steep increase in inflation and unemployment3. This positive economic forecast suggests a favorable environment for VTI's long-term growth.
- Asset Class Forecasts: Vanguard's forecasts for asset class performance, as of March 31, 2025, show a probabilistic return assumption for VTI, which depends on market conditions and can change over time4. These forecasts indicate a potential for VTI to deliver strong long-term returns.
In conclusion, VTI's long-term growth projections are positive, based on its historical performance, broad market coverage, favorable economic forecasts, and asset class forecasts.