Symbols

Tsla

6/5/2025 10:31pm

Aime

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle this question about Tesla (TSLA). The user is asking for an analysis, and they're interested in the US Tech sector, meme stocks, and technical analysis. First, I need to check the provided references and background to gather all relevant data.

Starting with the stock price and technical indicators. From Reference 1, the closing price on 2025-06-05 is $284.7, with a 14.26% drop. The resistance level is $324.55 and support at $273.21. That's a significant drop, so maybe there's some bearish pressure. The MACD, RSI, and KDJ from Reference 2 show negative values: MACD is -13.63, RSI is 16.81, and KDJ is -4.89. These are all below their neutral levels, indicating oversold conditions. The Bollinger Band is at 335.27, which is above the current price, suggesting potential upside if the price breaks above this level. The moving averages from Reference 3 show MA5 at 330.03, MA10 at 340.88, and MA20 at 335.27. The stock is trading below all these averages, which is bearish.

Next, looking at the financials. The average price target from Reference 5 is $358.49 with a consensus buy rating. However, the latest Q1 2025 results (Reference 15) show a revenue drop to $19.34 billion, net income of $420 million, and EPS of $0.12. That's a significant miss compared to previous quarters. The user might be interested in why the stock dropped despite the buy rating. The recent news mentions a feud between Elon Musk and Trump (References 16-18), which could be a key factor. The stock plunged over 14% on 2025-06-05, aligning with the closing price data.

Institutional activity is mixed. Reference 19 shows LS Investment Advisors increased their holdings, but Reference 4 and 20 indicate no net fund flow data. Analysts are split: some upgraded (Reference 23) while others downgraded (References 24-25). The user's interest in technical analysis would appreciate the breakdown of moving averages and resistance levels. The recent Supercharger expansion (References 34-36) and Powerwall milestone (Reference 31) are positive, but the political issues and financial misses are dragging the stock down.

The user's profile mentions a focus on short-term strategies, so highlighting the technical indicators and recent news impact is crucial. The stock is trading near its support level, which could be a buying opportunity if the price holds. The average price target is higher, suggesting potential upside, but the current technical setup is bearish. The feud with Trump adds a layer of risk, which might be a concern for short-term traders.

Putting it all together, the conclusion should balance the technical oversold conditions with the fundamental challenges. The analysis needs to be clear, using tables for the data and addressing the user's interest in tech and meme stocks. Make sure to cite all references properly and include the visualization for the closing price, resistance, and support levels.

🚨 Conclusion

Tesla (TSLA) faces immediate bearish pressure due to a 14.26% drop on 2025-06-05, driven by political tensions with President Trump and underwhelming Q1 financials. However, long-term bullish catalysts remain, including a $358.49 average price target and a "Buy" consensus rating ¹². The stock is technically oversold (RSI=16.81, KDJ=-4.89) but trading near critical support ($273.21) ³⁴.

📊 Key Analysis

1. Price Action & Technicals

Metric	Value	Implication
Closing Price ³	$284.7	Below 5-day MA ($330.03), 10-day MA ($340.88), and 20-day MA ($335.27) ⁵
Resistance Level ³	$324.55	Immediate upside barrier if price recovers ³
Support Level ³	$273.21	Key floor; breach could trigger further declines ³
MACD ⁴	-13.63	Bearish divergence (price up, MACD down) ⁴
RSI ⁴	16.81	Oversold territory (below 30) ⁴
KDJ ⁴	-4.89	Extreme bearish momentum ⁴

TSLA Trend

2. Fundamentals

Metric	Value	Context
Q1 2025 Revenue ²	$19.34B	27% YoY decline; miss vs. consensus ²
Net Income ²	$420M	78% YoY drop; EPS=$0.12 (vs. $0.43 consensus) ²
Average Price Target ¹	$358.49	26% upside potential; 44 analysts rate "Buy" ¹

3. Risks & Catalysts

Political Risk: Musk-Trump feud over tax legislation ⁶⁷.
Competition: Ford (F) reported record Q4 2024 profits ⁹, while Tesla faces production delays (Model Y redesign) ¹⁰.
Supply Chain: Cybertruck production sluggish; India manufacturing scrapped ¹¹¹².
Positive Catalysts: Powerwall milestone (1M units) ¹⁴, Supercharger expansion (2,200 new stalls Q1 2025) ¹⁵.

📉 Why the Drop?

Musk-Trump Feud: Musk criticized Trump’s tax bill, sparking a public backlash ⁶⁷.
Q1 Miss: Revenue ($19.34B vs. $22.6B consensus) and EPS ($0.12 vs. $0.46) fell short ².
Technical Weakness: Price below all moving averages; bearish MACD crossover ⁴⁵.

🚀 Why to Stay Bullish?

Long-Term Targets: Analysts see $358.49 avg. price target ¹.
Market Share: Tesla dominates U.S. EV market (70% share) ¹⁶.
Innovation: Cybertruck (2026 launch), affordable model (<$30K), and energy storage growth ¹⁰¹⁴.

🛠️ Takeaway

Tesla is technically oversold but fundamentally challenged. The stock could rebound if it holds above $273.21 support or breaks $324.55 resistance. For short-term traders, wait for confirmation of a bullish reversal (e.g., RSI >30). For long-term investors, the $358.49 price target remains a key upside catalyst.

Final Call: 📉 Bearish near-term, 🚀 Bullish long-term.

Source:

1. TSLA Average Price Target, Consensus Rating