What trends in LFUS's EPS suggest for long-term investors?
4/4/2025 11:30am
**Littelfuse's EPS trends suggest a challenging outlook for long-term investors**. The following points highlight the key concerns:
1. **Significant Decline in EPS**: The most recent data shows a substantial drop in EPS, with a year-over-year growth value of -3.29. This indicates a sharp decline in earnings, which is a red flag for investors looking for stable and growing profits.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|LFUS|LFUS.O|Littelfuse|2024 Q1|-45.48022598870057|1.93|185|
|LFUS|LFUS.O|Littelfuse|2024 Q2|-34.76702508960574|1.82|185|
|LFUS|LFUS.O|Littelfuse|2024 Q3|0.8695652173913052|2.32|185|
|LFUS|LFUS.O|Littelfuse|2024 Q4|-191.81286549707605|-1.57|185|
2. **Annual EPS Decline**: The trend is not isolated to a single quarter; it has been a consistent pattern over the past few years. For instance, the annual EPS declined by 61.32% from 2023 to 2024, and by 30.79% from 2022 to 2023. This suggests a deteriorating earnings trajectory, which is a cause for concern for long-term investors.
3. **Market Performance Reflecting EPS Trends**: The stock's performance has been under pressure, with a significant drop of 17.28% in the latest report period. This reflects investor sentiment that is aligned with the negative earnings outlook, potentially leading to a further decline in stock value.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|LFUS|LFUS.O|Littelfuse|2024 Q1|-45.48022598870057|185|
|LFUS|LFUS.O|Littelfuse|2024 Q2|-34.76702508960574|185|
|LFUS|LFUS.O|Littelfuse|2024 Q3|0.8695652173913052|185|
|LFUS|LFUS.O|Littelfuse|2024 Q4|-191.81286549707605|185|
4. **Valuation Concerns**: With a P/E ratio of 50.24, Littelfuse's valuation suggests that investors are expecting future growth. However, given the current EPS trends, this may be overly optimistic. The high P/E ratio could indicate that the stock is overvalued, especially when compared to the industry average.
5. **Economic and Sector Factors**: The broader electronic components sector is influenced by secular trends and economic cycles. While Littelfuse is benefiting from certain secular trends, the company's performance is also subject to economic fluctuations. The recent decline in revenues and earnings is a reflection of these broader economic challenges.
In conclusion, the EPS trends for Littelfuse indicate a company facing significant headwinds, which could pose risks for long-term investors. The decline in earnings is not isolated and has been accompanied by a drop in stock value. While there may be some optimism around specific market segments, the overall picture suggests that investors should exercise caution and consider these risks when evaluating LFUS as a long-term investment.