How does TGT's EPS surprise history affect investor confidence?

TGT's EPS surprise history has a mixed impact on investor confidence, as evidenced by the backtest results. While the 10-day win rate is high at 83.33%, indicating that the stock tends to perform well in the short term following an earnings miss, the 3-day win rate is lower at 50.00%, suggesting that there is volatility in the immediate aftermath of an earnings miss. The 30-day win rate of 33.33% further suggests that investor confidence may not fully recover in the medium term. The maximum return observed following an earnings miss is 11.81%, which occurred on day 60, indicating that while there is potential for gains, they are not guaranteed and may take time to materialize.