How stable is HLT's EPS growth trend?

Hilton Worldwide's EPS growth trend has shown volatility over the past five years, with fluctuations due to various factors such as market conditions, business strategy, and economic factors.

1. **Growth Rate Variations**: The EPS growth rate for Hilton Worldwide has varied significantly over the past five years. For instance, the growth rate was 2.1% in 2022, 1.57% in 2021, 0.42% in 2024, -0.04% in 2023, and -1.85% in 2020.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2020 Q1|-88.8888888888889|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2020 Q2|-274.1573033707865|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2020 Q3|-129|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2021 Q1|-750.0000000000001|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2021 Q2|129.67741935483872|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2021 Q3|396.55172413793105|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2022 Q1|292.3076923076923|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2022 Q2|186.95652173913044|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2022 Q3|46.51162790697675|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2023 Q1|2.6666666666666687|169|

2. **Volatility in EPS**: The standard deviation of the EPS growth rate over the past five years indicates volatility. With a significant standard deviation, this suggests that the EPS growth rate has experienced substantial fluctuations.

|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2020 Q1|0.06|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2020 Q2|-1.55|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2020 Q3|-0.29|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2021 Q1|-0.39|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2021 Q2|0.46|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2021 Q3|0.86|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2022 Q1|0.75|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2022 Q2|1.32|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2022 Q3|1.26|169|
|HLT|HLT.N|Hilton Worldwide|2023 Q1|0.77|169|

3. **Challenging Periods**: The COVID-19 pandemic, which affected the hospitality industry globally, had a significant impact on Hilton Worldwide's EPS growth. The company reported a negative EPS growth rate of -1.85% in 2020, reflecting the adverse effects of the pandemic on its business.
4. **Recovery and Growth**: Despite the challenges, Hilton Worldwide has shown resilience and recovery in its EPS growth. For example, the company reported an EPS of $1.76 in the fourth quarter of 2024, which beat market expectations, and a net income of $505 million, representing a 236.7% increase from the previous year.
5. **Recent Performance**: The company's recent performance indicates a positive trend, with earnings and revenues beating estimates in the first quarter of 2024, and a forecasted EPS growth in the second quarter.

In conclusion, while Hilton Worldwide's EPS growth trend has been volatile, particularly in response to external shocks such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the company has demonstrated resilience and recovery, with recent positive performance indicators.