How does SMSI's 2024 EPS trend affect long-term holdings?
4/3/2025 02:33pm
Smith Micro Software's (SMSI) 2024 EPS trend indicates significant challenges for long-term holders, primarily due to the consistent negative earnings projections and the substantial decline in stock price, which has hit a 52-week low. Here's how the trend affects long-term holdings:
1. **Negative Earnings Projections**: The estimated EPS for Q3 2024 is -$0.31, which is a substantial loss for the period. This indicates that the company is not expected to be profitable in the near term, which is a red flag for long-term investors who typically look for stable or growing earnings over time.
2. **Declining Stock Price**: The stock price has dropped to a 52-week low of $0.56, representing a 95.43% decline from the previous year. This steep decline can be particularly damaging to long-term holders, as it reduces the value of their investment and may lead to questions about the company's long-term viability.
3. **Challenging Market Perception**: The combination of negative earnings and a declining stock price can lead to a negative market perception, potentially causing investors to lose confidence in the company's ability to recover or improve in the future.
4. **Reverse Stock Split**: The reverse stock split aimed at raising the share price to meet Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement may not directly address the underlying financial issues causing the decline in stock price. This could be a concern for long-term holders, as it may not lead to an immediate turnaround in fortunes.
5. **Analyst Ratings and Estimates**: The Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell) and the substantial cut in revenue estimates by analysts suggest that the outlook for SMSI is not optimistic. This could further discourage long-term investors, as it indicates that the company may struggle to generate revenue growth in the foreseeable future.
In conclusion, SMSI's 2024 EPS trend is likely to have a negative impact on long-term holdings, given the company's current financial struggles and the potential for further stock price declines. Investors should carefully consider these factors and the potential for recovery or further deterioration before making any decisions about their holdings.