How does SAR's Q4 2025 EPS forecast compare to past trends?
4/5/2025 03:25pm
**SAR's Q4 2025 EPS forecast is mixed when compared to past trends.** Here's a detailed analysis:
1. **Current Forecast**: The EPS forecast for Q4 2025 is not currently available. However, the latest available data is from Q1 2025, where SAR reported an EPS of $0.48.
2. **Trend Analysis**:
- **Q1 2025 Performance**: SAR exceeded earnings expectations with an EPS of $0.48, which is a positive indicator.
- **Q4 2024 Performance**: SAR reported an EPS of $0.90 for Q4 2024. This suggests a decline in EPS from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025.
- **Long-term Trend**: The 5-year EPS CAGR for SAR is -4.18%, indicating a downward trend in EPS over the longer period.
3. **Analyst Expectations**: Analysts have set expectations for Q4 2025, but the estimates are not currently available. However, B. Rowe of B. Riley has reduced Q4 2025 EPS estimates, suggesting a potential decline in earnings expectations.
4. **Dividend and Revenue Trends**: SAR has increased dividends for 17 consecutive quarters, which is a positive sign for income generation. Revenue has also shown growth, with a year-over-year increase of 11.7%.
5. **Stock Performance and Market Position**: Despite the downward trend in EPS, SAR's stock has rallied by 18% over the past five years. The company's enterprise value CAGR over the last 5 years is 26.28%, indicating strong growth in value despite the EPS decline.
In conclusion, while SAR's EPS is trending downwards, the company's revenue growth, dividend increases, and stock performance suggest resilience in the face of declining earnings. The Q4 2025 EPS forecast is likely to reflect this trend, with potential challenges posed by the reduced analyst estimates.